Patriots vs. Jets Week 6 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The New England Patriots (3-2) are solid favorites -- expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7.5) -- versus the New York Jets (2-3) in a matchup of two division rivals. An over/under of 43.5 points has been established for the matchup.

The Patriots have the 19th-ranked offense this year (22.0 points per game), and they've been more effective defensively, ranking fourth-best with just 18.8 points allowed per game. The Jets rank 27th in the NFL with 18.6 points per game, but they've been led by their defense, which ranks fifth-best by giving up only 19.2 points per contest.

Patriots vs. Jets Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Foxborough, Massachusetts
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Total: 43.5 points
• Spread: Patriots -7.5
• Moneyline: Patriots (-380), Jets (+300)

How to watch Patriots vs. Jets

• TV Channel: CBS

Betting the Over/Under: Patriots vs. Jets

• Patriots games have had a combined total of more than 43.5 points twice this season (in five outings).
• New England games have gone over the point total twice this season.
• The Jets and their opponents have scored more than 43.5 combined points once this season.
• So far this season, just one New York game has gone over the point total.
• These teams rack up a combined 40.6 points per game, 2.9 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• These two teams together allow 38 points per game, 5.5 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Patriots vs. Jets

• New England has put together a 3-1-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Jets are 3-1-1 ATS this year.
• Away from home, the Jets have just one win against the spread and are 1-2 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Patriots vs. Jets

• New England has been the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.
• The Jets have been underdogs in four games this season and won one (25%) of those contests.
• New England has never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -380 or shorter.
• New York has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +300 odds on them winning this game.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Patriots a 79.2% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Patriots vs. Jets

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