Mystics vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 27

The Phoenix Mercury (13-25) aim to halt a four-game home losing streak when hosting the Washington Mystics (23-15) on Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET.

Washington knocked off Phoenix 94-84 on the road in its last outing. Sonia Citron (19 PTS, 9 AST, 50 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) and Kiki Iriafen (18 PTS, 10 REB, 42.9 FG%) paced the Mystics, and Natasha Mack (19 PTS, 8 REB, 3 STL, 3 BLK, 75 FG%) and Kahleah Copper (19 PTS, 43.8 FG%) led the Mercury.

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Mystics vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Mystics-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Mystics (-2.5)
• Total: 168.5
• Mystics Moneyline: -138
• Mercury Moneyline: +112

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Mystics Betting Insights

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Mystics have an implied win probability of 58.0%.
• Washington has gone 12-4 in games when favored on the moneyline (winning 75% of those games).
• The Mystics have put together a 23-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
• In 18 of 38 games this season, Washington and its opponents have combined to score more than 168.5 points.
• Mystics games this season have had an average of 165.0 points, 3.5 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The Mercury have a 47.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• This season, Phoenix has been the underdog 24 times and won seven, or 29.2%, of those games.
• The Mercury have covered 16 times in 38 matchups with a spread this year.
• Phoenix has combined with its opponent to score more than 168.5 points in 21 of 38 games this season.
• The Mercury's average game total this season has been 170.2, 1.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Mystics vs. Mercury

• Washington records 82.9 points per game, 5.0 fewer points than the 87.9 Phoenix gives up.
• The Mystics are 12-1 when scoring more than 87.9 points.
• Washington has scored at a higher clip when playing at home than on the road in the 2026 season (85.1 points per game at home versus 80.5 on the road), and has surrendered the same number of points at home as away from home (83.2).
• Phoenix scores an average of 84.0 points per game, only 0.8 more points than the 83.2 Washington allows to opponents.
• The Mercury have put together a 10-10 record in games when they've scored more than 83.2 points.
• Phoenix puts up more points per game at home (85.7) than on the road (82.6), but also allows more at home (89.2) than on the road (86.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.