Mystics vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 27

The Phoenix Mercury (13-25) will look to snap a three-game losing streak when hosting the Washington Mystics (23-15) on Thursday, August 27, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center. This matchup is at 10 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

Washington knocked off Phoenix 94-84 on the road in its last outing. Sonia Citron (19 PTS, 9 AST, 50 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) and Kiki Iriafen (18 PTS, 10 REB, 42.9 FG%) paced the Mystics, while Natasha Mack (19 PTS, 8 REB, 3 STL, 3 BLK, 75 FG%) and Kahleah Copper (19 PTS, 43.8 FG%) led the Mercury.

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Mystics vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Mystics-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Mystics (-4.5)
• Total: 166.5
• Mystics Moneyline: -180
• Mercury Moneyline: +146

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Mystics Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Mystics' implied win probability is 64.3%.
• Washington has won 75% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (12-4).
• The Mystics have put together a 23-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• Washington's 38 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 166.5 points 18 times.
• The average total in Mystics games this season is 165.0, 1.5 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The Mercury have a 40.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 24 times this season and won seven, or 29.2%, of those games.
• The Mercury have put together a 16-22-0 record against the spread this season.
• Phoenix has combined with its opponent to score more than 166.5 points in 23 of 38 games this season.
• The average over/under for Mercury matchups this season is 170.2, 3.7 more points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Mystics vs. Mercury

• Washington averages five fewer points per game (82.9) than Phoenix allows (87.9).
• The Mystics are 12-1 when scoring more than 87.9 points.
• Washington has scored at a higher rate when playing at home than on the road in the 2026 season (85.1 points per game at home versus 80.5 on the road), and has surrendered the exact same amount of points at home as on the road (83.2).
• Phoenix's 84 points per game are only 0.8 more points than the 83.2 Washington gives up.
• When they score more than 83.2 points, the Mercury are 10-10.
• At home, Phoenix is better offensively, putting up 85.7 points per game, compared to 82.6 on the road. But it is not as good defensively, conceding 89.2 points per game at home, and 86.8 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.