Mystics vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 25

The Phoenix Mercury (13-24) will host the Washington Mystics (22-15) after dropping three home games in a row. It tips at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, August 25, 2026.

In Washington's last game, it defeated Portland 105-100. The Mystics were led by Shakira Austin, who finished with 31 points, 10 rebounds and two blocks, and Kiki Iriafen, with 18 points and 10 rebounds.

In its most recent game, Phoenix fell to Atlanta 99-89 at home, with Kahleah Copper (38 PTS, 61.9 FG%, 3-7 from 3PT) and DeWanna Bonner (12 PTS, 9 REB, 44.4 FG%) the standout performers.

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Mystics vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Mystics-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Mystics (-1.5)
• Total: 167.5
• Mystics Moneyline: -128
• Mercury Moneyline: +104

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Mystics Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Mystics' implied win probability is 56.1%.
• Washington has an 11-4 record in games when it was listed as a moneyline favorite (winning 73.3% of those games).
• The Mystics have covered 22 times in 37 chances against the spread this season.
• In 17 of 37 games this season, Washington and its opponents have combined to score more than 167.5 points.
• The average total in Mystics matchups this year is 164.9, 2.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mercury have a 49.0% chance to win.
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 23 times this season and won seven, or 30.4%, of those games.
• The Mercury have put together a 16-21-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Phoenix has played 22 games this season that have gone over 167.5 combined points scored.
• The average over/under for Mercury contests this season is 170.3, 2.8 more points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Mystics vs. Mercury

• Washington records 5.2 fewer points per game (82.6) than Phoenix allows (87.8).
• The Mystics have an 11-1 record when scoring more than 87.8 points.
• During the 2026 season, Washington scores 5.4 more points per home game than on the road (85.1 at home, 79.7 on the road), and is also giving up 0.1 more points per home game compared to road games (83.2 at home, 83.1 on the road).
• Phoenix scores an average of 84 points per game, just 0.9 more points than the 83.1 Washington allows to opponents.
• The Mercury have gone 10-9 when they've scored more than 83.1 points.
• Phoenix puts up 85.8 points per game at home, 3.2 more than on the road (82.6). On defense, it concedes 88.9 per game, 2.1 more than away (86.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.