Vikings vs. Saints Week 5 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
07 October 2026

The Minnesota Vikings (4-0) are slim favorites (-2.5) over the New Orleans Saints (1-3). The Vikings have taken four games straight. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 42.5.
The Vikings have the fifth-best defense this season in terms of total yards (289.3 yards allowed per game), but they rank second-worst on offense (262.8 yards per game). The Saints have been sputtering on defense, ranking worst with 32.0 points surrendered per game. They have been better offensively, putting up 26.3 points per contest (10th-ranked).
Vikings vs. Saints Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- City: New Orleans, Louisiana
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
- Total: 42.5 points
- Spread: Vikings -2.5
- Moneyline: Vikings (-130), Saints (+110)
How to watch Vikings vs. Saints
- TV Channel: FOX
Betting the Over/Under: Vikings vs. Saints
- Vikings matchups have gone over 42.5 points only once this season (in four outings).
- Minnesota games have gone over the point total just once this season.
- The Saints have played three games this season that have had more than 42.5 combined points scored.
- In New Orleans' four contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
- The teams combine to score 47.8 points per game, 5.3 more points than this matchup's point total.
- These two teams surrender a combined 44.8 points per game, 2.3 more points than this contest's over/under.
Betting the Spread: Vikings vs. Saints
- Minnesota has covered the spread three times in four games this season.
- Minnesota has covered the spread once when favored by 2.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
- The Saints have covered twice in four games with a spread this year.
- New Orleans has been an underdog by 2.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread both times.
Betting the Moneyline: Vikings vs. Saints
- Minnesota has been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of three times this season, and they've won each of those games.
- The Saints have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
- Minnesota has played as a moneyline favorite of -130 or shorter in just two games this season, and it won both.
- New Orleans has a record of 1-1 when it is set as an underdog of +110 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The Vikings have an implied moneyline win probability of 56.5% in this contest.
Dunkel Prediction for Vikings vs. Saints
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Vikings (-2.5) | Under (42.5) | Vikings 23 - Saints 11 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
