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Vikings vs. Dolphins Week 4 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

04 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Minnesota Vikings (3-0) will be trying to extend a three-game winning streak against the Miami Dolphins (0-3). The Vikings are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -9.5). An over/under of 38.5 points has been established for the matchup.

While the Vikings rank 11th in total defense with 319.7 yards allowed per game, they've been slightly worse on offense, ranking worst (238.3 yards per game). The Dolphins are putting up 290.7 total yards per game on offense this season (27th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 335.3 total yards per game (19th-ranked).

Vikings vs. Dolphins Odds and Game Time

  • Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • City: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
  • Total: 38.5 points
  • Spread: Vikings -9.5
  • Moneyline: Vikings (-521), Dolphins (+390)

How to watch Vikings vs. Dolphins

  • TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Vikings vs. Dolphins

  • The Vikings and their opponents have combined to score more than 38.5 points twice this season (in three games).
  • Minnesota games have gone over the point total once this season.
  • The Dolphins and their opponents have combined to score more than 38.5 points twice this season.
  • So far this year, one Miami game has hit the over.
  • The two teams combine to score 35.7 points per game, 2.8 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.
  • Opponents of these teams put up 42.4 combined points per game, 3.9 more points than this contest's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Vikings vs. Dolphins

  • Minnesota is 3-0-0 ATS this season.
  • The Dolphins have compiled a 0-3-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Miami has not covered the spread when an underdog by 9.5 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
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Betting the Moneyline: Vikings vs. Dolphins

  • Minnesota has been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.
  • The Dolphins have been the underdog in three games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests.
  • Minnesota has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -521 or shorter.
  • Miami has not won as an underdog of +390 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
  • The Vikings have an 83.9% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Vikings vs. Dolphins

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Dolphins (+9.5) Under (38.5) Dolphins 22 - Vikings 15

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