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Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 4

04 July 2026 By Data Skrive

Garrett Mitchell brings a two-game homer streak into the Milwaukee Brewers' game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at 9:40 p.m. ET on Saturday, at Chase Field. Brandon Woodruff (2-1, 2.59 ERA) will start for the Brewers, who are 54-32 this season and first in the NL Central. Merrill Kelly (5-8, 5.84 ERA) is starting for the Diamondbacks, who are 43-44 and second in the NL West.

Even though the Brewers are playing on the road at the Diamondbacks, they are currently favored on the moneyline at -156, compared to the home team at +128. The over/under for this contest is 9.5.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, July 4, 2026
  • Game time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Stadium: Chase Field
  • Favorite: Brewers (-156)
  • Underdog: Diamondbacks (+128)
  • Over/under: 9.5

How to Watch Brewers vs. Diamondbacks

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Brewers vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Brewers have compiled a 40-20 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games).
  • Arizona has won in 18, or 38.3%, of the 47 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 20-11 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -156 on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Diamondbacks have been victorious five times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Brewers' implied win probability is 60.9%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 86 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Brewers, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 38 times (38-45-3).
  • So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of its 87 games with a total.
  • The Brewers have a 49-37-0 record against the spread this season (covering 57% of the time).
  • The Diamondbacks have an against the spread record of 46-41-0 in 87 games with a line this season.
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