Michigan vs. Purdue Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big Ten Tournament

The No. 7 seed Purdue Boilermakers (26-8, 13-7 Big Ten) are 6.5-point underdogs in the Big Ten championship game, as sportsbooks think the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines (31-2, 19-1 Big Ten) will claim the automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The title game tips off Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET, live on CBS. The matchup has an over/under set at 149.5 points.

Michigan is coming off of a 68-65 victory over Wisconsin in its most recent game on Saturday. Aday Mara's team-high 16 points led Michigan in the victory. In its last game on Saturday, Purdue secured a 73-66 victory over UCLA. In Purdue's win, Oscar Cluff led the team with 17 points (adding 14 rebounds and two assists).

Michigan vs. Purdue Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: United Center in Chicago, Illinois
• Spread favorite: Michigan -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -271
• Moneyline underdog: Purdue +219
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. Purdue

• TV Channel: CBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Purdue

• This season, Michigan and its opponents have combined to outscore Sunday's over/under of 149.5 points 20 times.
• In Purdue's 34 games this season, 18 finished with more combined points than Sunday's total of 149.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 169 points per game, 19.5 points more than the over/under of 149.5 for this matchup.
• This matchup's total is 10.5 fewer points than the 139 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Michigan has seen a 156.2 average over/under in its games this season, 6.7 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this contest is 2.3 points lower than the average over/under in Purdue's games this season (151.8 points).

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Purdue

• In Michigan's 32 games this season, it has 16 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Wolverines have an against-the-spread record of 10-16 in their 26 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, Purdue is 14-19-0 this year.
• Michigan is 9-6 against the spread, and 14-1 overall, at home.
• At home, Michigan is 9-6 ATS as a 6.5-point favorite or greater.
• This year in away games, Purdue is 6-5 against the spread and 8-3 overall.
• Purdue has two wins ATS (2-3) as 6.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Purdue

• Michigan has entered the game as moneyline favorites 31 times this season and won 29, or 93.5%, of those games.
• The Wolverines have a record of 25-1, a 96.2% win rate, when favored by -271 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 73% chance of a victory for Michigan.
• Purdue has been victorious in two of the three contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Boilermakers have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +219.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Purdue has a 31.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.