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Marlins vs. Mets Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 22

22 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins host the New York Mets to start a three-game series at loanDepot park, with first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday. Eury Perez (2-6, 5.33 ERA) gets the start for the Marlins, who are 22-29 this season and fifth in the NL East. Tobias Myers (0-1, 3.41 ERA) is the expected starter for the Mets, who are 22-28 and fourth in the NL East.

With moneyline odds of -114 for the Marlins and -105 for the Mets, this could be a close contest. The total for the Marlins-Mets game is 8.

Marlins vs. Mets Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, May 22, 2026
  • Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park
  • Favorite: Marlins (-114)
  • Underdog: Mets (-105)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Marlins vs. Mets

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Marlins vs. Mets: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Marlins have put together a 17-11 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 60.7% of those games).
  • New York has been pegged as an underdog in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (33.3%) in those games.
  • Miami has a record of 17-8, a 68% win rate, when favored by -114 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Mets have a win-loss record of 3-8 when favored by -105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Marlins' implied win probability is 53.3%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Marlins vs. Mets: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Marlins have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 51 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 32 of those games (32-18-1).
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of its 50 games with a total this season.
  • The Marlins have covered 41.2% of their games this season, going 21-30-0 ATS.
  • The Mets are 20-30-0 against the spread in their 50 games that had a posted line this season.
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