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Marlins vs. Guardians Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 11

11 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The Cleveland Guardians are looking for continued production from a hitter on a roll versus the Miami Marlins on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET, at loanDepot park. Chase DeLauter is currently on a two-game homer streak. Eury Perez (5-6, 3.84 ERA) will start for the Marlins, who are 52-43 this season and third in the NL East. Tanner Bibee (2-9, 4.06 ERA) is the expected starter for the Guardians, who are 49-46 and second in the AL Central.

The Guardians (+127) are on the road versus the favored Marlins (-156). The total for this contest is 7.5.

Marlins vs. Guardians Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, July 11, 2026
  • Game time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park
  • Favorite: Marlins (-156)
  • Underdog: Guardians (+127)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Marlins vs. Guardians

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Marlins vs. Guardians: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Marlins have won 68.1% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (32-15).
  • Cleveland has been pegged as an underdog in 43 games this year and has walked away with the win 22 times (51.2%) in those games.
  • Miami has been at least -156 moneyline favorites seven times this season and won each of those games.
  • This year, the Guardians have won seven of 12 games when listed as at least +127 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have a 60.9% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Marlins vs. Guardians: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 95 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Marlins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 51 times (51-42-2).
  • Cleveland's games have gone over the total in 45 of its 95 chances.
  • The Marlins have covered 53.7% of their games this season, going 51-44-0 against the spread.
  • In 95 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 47-48-0 against the spread.
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