Heat vs. Pacers Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 29

The Indiana Pacers (16-58) will host the Miami Heat (39-35) after dropping 11 straight home games.

The Heat are currently healthy 9-point favorites against the Pacers. The point total for the game is 244.5.

Heat vs. Pacers Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, March 29, 2026
• Game time: 5 p.m. ET
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Total: 244.5 points
• Spread: Heat -9
• Moneyline: Heat (-375), Pacers (+300)

How to watch Heat vs. Pacers

• TV Channel: FDSSUN, FDSIN

Betting the Over/Under: Heat vs. Pacers

• In 28 games this season, the Heat and their opponents have gone over 244.5 combined points.
• The Pacers have combined with their opponent to score more than 244.5 points in 24 of 74 games this season.
• These teams are scoring 232.2 points per game between them, 12.3 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• Combined, these teams allow 238.3 points per game, 6.2 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Heat vs. Pacers

• Miami has compiled a 43-30-1 ATS record so far this year.
• When playing as at least 9-point favorites this season, the Heat have an ATS record of 6-2.
• The Pacers have won 34 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 40 times.
• Indiana has an ATS record of 14-13 when playing as at least 9-point underdogs this year.
• The Pacers are 10-27 overall, and 21-16 against the spread, at home.
• At home, as a 9-point underdog or greater, Indiana is winless ATS (0-1).
• This season away from home, the Heat are 22-14-1 against the spread and 16-21 overall.
• On the road, Miami is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 9-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Heat vs. Pacers

• The Heat have won 61.1% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (22-14).
• The Pacers have won 13, or 20.6%, of the 63 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -375 or shorter, Miami has gone 7-1 (87.5% win percentage).
• This season, Indiana has won four of its 26 games, or 15.4%, when it is the underdog by at least +300 on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Heat a 78.9% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Heat vs. Pacers

• Pick ATS: Heat (- 9)
• Pick OU: Under (244.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 129 - Pacers 111
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!