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Heat vs. Pacers Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Jan. 10

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10 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Indiana Pacers (7-31) will attempt to break a seven-game home losing streak when hosting the Miami Heat (20-17) on January 10, 2026.

Saturday's matchup between the Heat and the Pacers sees the Heat as a solid, 6.5-point favorite. The over/under is 235.5 points for the game.

Heat vs. Pacers Odds and Game Time

The Heat and their opponents have gone over 235.5 combined points in 20 of 37 games this season.
The Pacers have played 16 games this season that have gone over 235.5 combined points scored.
These two teams average a combined 230.9 points per game, 4.6 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.
Combined, these teams allow 236.9 points per game, 1.4 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Miami has won 21 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 16 times.
The Heat have been favored by 6.5 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in five of those games.
The Pacers have put together a 19-19-0 record against the spread this season.
Indiana has covered the spread nine times this year (9-9 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
The Pacers are 11-9 against the spread, and 5-15 overall, at home.
At home, as a 6.5-point underdog or more, Indiana has one win ATS (1-2).
On the road, the Heat are 10-7-1 against the spread, and 7-11 overall.
Away from home, Miami is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 6.5-point favorites or more.

The Heat have won 62.5% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (10-6).
The Pacers have entered the game as underdogs 33 times this season and won five, or 15.2%, of those games.
Miami has gone 7-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -260 or shorter (winning 87.5%).
Indiana has a record of 1-12, a 7.7% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +215 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Based on this contest's moneyline, the Heat have an implied win probability of 72.2%.