Mercury vs. Sun: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 19

The Phoenix Mercury (8-18) will try to halt a three-game home losing streak when hosting the Connecticut Sun (7-18) on Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET.

Phoenix fell to Connecticut 96-83 at home in its last outing. Kahleah Copper (21 PTS, 50 FG%) and Alyssa Thomas (17 PTS, 8 REB, 6 AST, 58.3 FG%) paced the Mercury, and Leila Lacan (26 PTS, 5 AST, 2 STL, 76.9 FG%) and Kennedy Burke (13 PTS, 55.6 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) led the Sun.

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Mercury vs. Sun Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Mercury-Sun game.

• Favorite: Mercury (-3.5)
• Total: 165.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -162
• Sun Moneyline: +132

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Mercury Betting Insights

• The Mercury have an implied moneyline win probability of 61.8% in this matchup.
• Phoenix has won four of the 10 games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (40%).
• The Mercury have won 10 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 16 times.
• Phoenix's games this season have gone over this contest's total of 165.5 points 14 times.
• The Mercury have an average total of 168.9 in their outings this year, 3.4 more points than this game's over/under.

Sun Betting Insights

• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 43.1% chance of a victory for the Sun.
• This season, Connecticut has been the underdog 22 times and won six, or 27.3%, of those games.
• The Sun have put together a 14-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• Connecticut and its opponents have combined to score more than 165.5 points in 15 of 25 games this season.
• The average over/under for Sun matchups this season is 165.8, 0.3 more points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Sun

• Phoenix puts up just 2.9 fewer points per game (83.3) than Connecticut gives up (86.2).
• The Mercury have a 6-5 record when putting up more than 86.2 points.
• Phoenix's offense has been much better when playing at home (85.8 PPG) compared to road games (81.1 PPG). However, its defense has been worse when playing at home (89.9 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (85.6 PPG allowed).
• Connecticut puts up an average of 80.4 points per game, 7.2 fewer points than the 87.6 Phoenix allows to opponents.
• The Sun have gone 4-3 when they've scored more than 87.6 points.
• At home, Connecticut is better offensively, averaging 81.4 points per game, compared to 79.1 away. The team is also better defensively, giving up 85 points per game at home, and 87.8 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.