Mercury vs. Sun: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 19

The Phoenix Mercury (8-18) hope to stop a three-game home losing streak when hosting the Connecticut Sun (7-18) on Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET.

Phoenix's most recent game ended in a loss to Connecticut 96-83 at home. Kahleah Copper (21 PTS, 50 FG%) and Alyssa Thomas (17 PTS, 8 REB, 6 AST, 58.3 FG%) led the Mercury, and Leila Lacan (26 PTS, 5 AST, 2 STL, 76.9 FG%) and Kennedy Burke (13 PTS, 55.6 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) paced the Sun.

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Mercury vs. Sun Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Mercury-Sun matchup.

• Favorite: Mercury (-4.5)
• Total: 164.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -188
• Sun Moneyline: +152

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Mercury Betting Insights

• The Mercury have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.3% in this contest.
• Phoenix has compiled a 4-6 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 40% of those games).
• The Mercury have put together a 10-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• In 15 games this season, Phoenix and its opponents have gone over 164.5 combined points.
• Mercury games this year have an average total of 168.9, 4.4 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Sun Betting Insights

• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 39.7% chance of a victory for the Sun.
• This season, Connecticut has been the underdog 22 times and won six, or 27.3%, of those games.
• The Sun have put together a 14-11-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Connecticut has played 18 games this season that ended with a combined score above 164.5 points.
• Sun games this year have had a 165.8-point total on average, 1.3 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Sun

• The 83.3 points per game Phoenix scores are just 2.9 fewer points than Connecticut allows (86.2).
• The Mercury have a 6-5 record when putting up more than 86.2 points.
• In the 2026 campaign, Phoenix is scoring 4.7 more points per home game than on the road (85.8 at home, 81.1 on the road), and is also allowing 4.3 more points per home game compared to road games (89.9 at home, 85.6 on the road).
• Connecticut averages 7.2 fewer points per game (80.4) than Phoenix give up (87.6).
• The Sun have gone 4-3 when they've scored more than 87.6 points.
• Connecticut scores more points per game at home (81.4) than on the road (79.1), and also gives up fewer points at home (85) than on the road (87.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.