Mercury vs. Sky: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 7

The Chicago Sky (6-14) travel to face the Phoenix Mercury (8-13) after losing six consecutive road games. It starts at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, July 7, 2026.

In its last game, Phoenix earned a 90-67 win against Seattle. The Mercury were led by Kahleah Copper's 30 points, seven rebounds and two steals and Valeriane Ayayi's 18 points.

In its previous game, Chicago fell to Las Vegas, 98-90, on the road. Its top scorers were Skylar Diggins (19 PTS, 53.8 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT) and Kamilla Cardoso (16 PTS, 10 REB, 2 BLK, 36.4 FG%).

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Mercury vs. Sky Betting Lines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Mercury-Sky matchup.

• Favorite: Mercury (-3.5)
• Total: 172.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -150
• Sky Moneyline: +122

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Mercury Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Mercury a 60.0% chance to win.
• Phoenix has won 57.1% of its games this season as a moneyline favorite (4-3).
• The Mercury have won nine games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• Phoenix's 21 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 172.5 points seven times.
• The average point total in Mercury matchups this year is 168.8, 3.7 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Sky Betting Insights

• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Sky have a 45.0% chance to win.
• Chicago has won two, or 15.4%, of the 13 games it has played as the underdog this season.
• The Sky have compiled a 9-11-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Chicago has played 11 games this season that finished with a combined score over 172.5 points.
• The Sky have had an average of 170.2 points scored in their games so far this season, 2.3 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Sky

• Phoenix scores 5.8 fewer points per game (84.2) than Chicago allows (90).
• The Mercury have a 4-1 record when putting up more than 90 points.
• Phoenix has been significantly better offensively at home, where it averages 87.9 points per game, compared to road games, where it records 81.5 per game. Defensively, it is much worse in home games, where it gives up 90.4 points per game, versus on the road, where it allows opponents to average 82.4 per game.
• Chicago scores an average of 86.6 points per game, just 0.7 more points than the 85.9 Phoenix gives up to opponents.
• When they score more than 85.9 points, the Sky are 4-7.
• At home Chicago puts up 90.5 points per game, 7.8 more than on the road (82.7). Defensively, it allows 91.1 points per game at home, 2.3 more than on the road (88.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.