Mercury vs. Sky: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 7

The Phoenix Mercury (8-13) will look to continue a three-game winning run when hosting the Chicago Sky (6-14) on Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center. It airs at 10 p.m. ET on The U and AZFamily.

Phoenix enters this game following a 90-67 victory over Seattle. The Mercury's leading scorer was Kahleah Copper, who wound up with 30 points, seven rebounds and two steals.

In its most recent game, Chicago fell on the road to Las Vegas 98-90, with Skylar Diggins (19 PTS, 53.8 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT) and Kamilla Cardoso (16 PTS, 10 REB, 2 BLK, 36.4 FG%) the standout performers.

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Mercury vs. Sky Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Mercury-Sky game.

• Favorite: Mercury (-3.5)
• Total: 175.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -178
• Sky Moneyline: +144

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Mercury Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Mercury a 64.0% chance to win.
• Phoenix has won four of the seven games when it was a moneyline favorite this season (57.1%).
• The Mercury have won nine games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• In five games this season, Phoenix and its opponents have scored more than 175.5 combined points.
• The average total in Mercury games this season is 168.8, 6.7 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Sky Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Sky based on the moneyline is 41.0%.
• Chicago has entered the game as the underdog 13 times this season and won twice.
• The Sky have covered nine times in 20 matchups with a spread this year.
• Chicago has played 10 games this season that finished with a combined score over 175.5 points.
• The average over/under for Sky outings this season is 170.2, 5.3 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Sky

• The 84.2 points per game Phoenix averages are 5.8 fewer points than Chicago allows (90.0).
• The Mercury have a 4-1 record when scoring more than 90.0 points.
• Phoenix has scored at a much higher clip when playing at home than on the road in the 2026 season (87.9 points per game at home versus 81.5 on the road), and has also allowed more points in home games than on the road (90.4 per home game versus 82.4 on the road).
• Chicago scores just 0.7 more points per game (86.6) than Phoenix gives up to opponents (85.9).
• When they score more than 85.9 points, the Sky are 4-7.
• At home, Chicago is better offensively, putting up 90.5 points per game, compared to 82.7 away. But it is not as good defensively, conceding 91.1 points per game at home, and 88.8 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.