Mercury vs. Fever: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 9

A pair of the league's best scorers square off -- Kahleah Copper (third, 20.8 points per game) and Kelsey Mitchell (second, 22.2) -- when the Phoenix Mercury (8-14) host the Indiana Fever (12-9) on Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video, WTHR-13, and Fever Direct.

Last time out, Phoenix fell short of victory by a final score of 77-66 against Chicago. The Mercury were led by Copper's 25 points and DeWanna Bonner's 12 points and seven rebounds.

In its previous game, Indiana lost to Los Angeles, 106-92, on the road. Its top performers were Mitchell (29 PTS, 2 STL, 50 FG%, 5-9 from 3PT) and Lexie Hull (14 PTS, 46.2 FG%, 2-6 from 3PT).

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Mercury vs. Fever Betting Lines

Take a look below at the latest betting lines for the Mercury-Fever game.

• Favorite: Mercury (-1.5)
• Total: 171.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -115
• Fever Moneyline: -105

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The Mercury have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• Phoenix has put together a 4-4 record in games when it was listed as a moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).
• The Mercury have compiled a 9-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• In eight games this season, Phoenix and its opponents have scored more than 171.5 total points.
• The Mercury have an average total of 169.0 in their matchups this year, 2.5 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Fever Betting Insights

• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 51.2% chance of a victory for the Fever.
• Indiana has entered the game as the underdog four times this season and won once.
• The Fever have won nine games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 12 times.
• Indiana has played 12 games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 171.5 points.
• The Fever's average game total this season has been 175.7, 4.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Fever

• The 83.4 points per game Phoenix averages are 6.3 fewer points than Indiana allows (89.7).
• The Mercury have a 5-2 record when scoring more than 89.7 points.
• Phoenix has scored at a higher clip in home games than on the road in the 2026 season (85.7 points per game at home versus 81.5 on the road), and has also allowed more points at home than on the road (89.1 per home game versus 82.4 on the road).
• Indiana puts up an average of 93.4 points per game, 7.9 more points than the 85.5 Phoenix gives up to opponents.
• The Fever have put together an 8-7 record in games when they've scored more than 85.5 points.
• At home, Indiana is better offensively, putting up 99.3 points per game, compared to 85.4 on the road. But it is not as good defensively, giving up 91.3 points per game at home, and 87.7 away.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.