Maple Leafs vs. Sabres NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 15

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Buffalo Sabres -- both coming off losses in their last game -- will meet on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The Sabres are small underdogs, at -102, and the Maple Leafs are -118.

Toronto's last game was a 5-4 road loss to the Utah Mammoth on Oct. 13. The Maple Leafs got two points each out of Auston Matthews (one goal and one assist) and John Tavares (one goal and one assist).

Buffalo played on the road in its most recent game on Oct. 13, and fell to the Montreal Canadiens 4-3 in a shootout (3-1). Beck Malenstyn (two assists) and Mattias Samuelsson (two assists) were among the three Sabres players who recorded two points each in that matchup.

To prepare for this matchup, here is who we predict to emerge victorious in Thursday's hockey action.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Buffalo Sabres, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Sabres 4 - Maple Leafs 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Moneylines

Take a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Sabres matchup.

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-118)
• Underdog: Sabres (-102)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• In the four times this season the Maple Leafs have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 2-2 in those games.
• Toronto has had moneyline odds of -118 or shorter in just two games this season, and won both.
• The Maple Leafs' implied moneyline win probability is 54.1% in this game.
• In four games this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Sabres Betting Insights

• The Sabres have won one of the four games they have played while the underdog this season.
• Buffalo has played as a moneyline underdog of -102 or longer twice so far this season. They lost both games.
• The implied probability of a win by the Sabres, based on the moneyline, is 50.5%.
• Buffalo's games this season have had over 6.5 goals four of seven times.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto has scored the 10th-most goals in the league (24 total, 3.4 per game).
• The Maple Leafs have conceded 22 total goals (3.1 per game), ranking 23rd in league play in goals against.
• Its +2 goal differential ranks 15th in the league.
• The seven power-play goals the Maple Leafs have put up this season are third-best in the NHL (on 24 power-play chances).
• Toronto has the league's fifth-best power-play conversion rate (29.17%).
• Toronto has a league-best 95.83% penalty-kill percentage.
• Toronto wins the 10th-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 51.9%.
• The Maple Leafs have a 12.4% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 10th in the league.

Sabres Key Stats

• Buffalo has 19 goals this season (2.7 per game), 18th in the NHL.
• The Sabres give up 3.6 goals per game (25 in total), 27th in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of -6, the team is 23rd in the league.
• With three power-play goals (on 27 chances), the Sabres are 21st in the NHL.
• Buffalo has the NHL's 30th-ranked power-play percentage (11.11%).
• The 60.87% penalty-kill percentage of Buffalo is 30th in the NHL.
• Buffalo is 22nd in faceoff win rate in the NHL (47.8%).
• With a shooting percentage of 10.6%, the Sabres are 22nd in the league.