Maple Leafs vs. Panthers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 11

Both the Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers are coming off a defeat, heading into their meeting at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET. The Panthers are underdogs on the road, at +110, and the Maple Leafs are -130.

Toronto's last game was a 5-3 road loss to the New York Islanders on April 9. The Maple Leafs got one point apiece out of seven players, including Oliver Ekman-Larsson (one assist) and Matias Maccelli (one assist).

Florida's last game was a road loss, 5-1, against the Ottawa Senators on April 9. Three Panthers skaters recorded one point each in that matchup, including Eetu Luostarinen (one assist) and A.J. Greer (one assist).

Here is our prediction for who will capture the win in Saturday's game.

Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 3 - Panthers 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.08 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Moneylines

Take a look below at the latest moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Panthers game.

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-130)
• Underdog: Panthers (+110)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have won 48.3% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (14-15).
• Toronto is 12-8 (victorious in 60.0% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -130 or shorter.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied probability of 56.5% to win.
• Toronto and its opponent have posted more than 6.5 goals in 44 of 78 games this season.

Panthers Betting Insights

• The Panthers have been listed as an underdog 30 times this season, and won 17, or 56.7%, of those games.
• Florida has entered 21 games this season as the underdog by +110 or more and is 11-10 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this matchup implies a 47.6% chance of victory for the Panthers.
• Florida has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 40 of 78 games this season.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto ranks 16th in the league with 244 goals scored (3.1 per game).
• Defensively, the Maple Leafs are allowing 280 total goals (3.5 per game) to rank 31st in NHL play.
• Its goal differential (-36) ranks 27th in the league.
• The 40 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have scored this season (to rank 24th in the NHL) have come on 193 power-play chances.
• Toronto has the league's 15th-ranked power-play conversion rate (20.73%).
• The Maple Leafs have scored six shorthanded goals this season.
• Toronto kills 81.98% of opponent power plays, the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Toronto wins 54.4% of its faceoffs to rank second in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs shoot 11.7% as a team (eighth in the league).

Panthers Key Stats

• With 229 goals (2.9 per game), Florida has the league's 21st-ranked offense.
• The Panthers' total of 269 goals allowed (3.4 per game) is 28th in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of -40, the team is 28th in the league.
• With 51 power-play goals (on 263 chances), the Panthers are 13th in the NHL.
• Florida has the NHL's 21st-ranked power-play percentage (19.39%).
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Panthers have seven.
• At 80.83%, Florida has the 10th-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Florida is 29th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (47%).
• The Panthers' 10.3% shooting percentage is 27th in the league.