Maple Leafs vs. Islanders NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 3

Auston Matthews will be coming off a hat trick when his Toronto Maple Leafs visit the New York Islanders on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET. The Islanders are small underdogs, at -108, and the Maple Leafs are -112.

Toronto won 6-5 at home its last time out on Jan. 1 against the Winnipeg Jets. Matthews' four points (three goals and one assist) led the Maple Leafs.

New York lost 7-2 at home against the Utah Mammoth in its most recent game on Jan. 1. Maxim Shabanov had two points (two assists) in that outing for the Islanders.

Ahead of this matchup, here is who we project to secure the win in Saturday's hockey action.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Islanders, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 5 - Islanders 2
• Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.98 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Islanders matchup.

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-112)
• Underdog: Islanders (-108)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs are 11-10 this season when favored on the moneyline.
• Toronto is 11-10 when it has played with moneyline odds of -112 or shorter (52.4% win percentage).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied probability of 52.8% to win.
• Toronto's 40 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 5.5 goals 26 times.

Islanders Betting Insights

• This season the Islanders have won 15 of the 26 games, or 57.7%, in which they've been an underdog.
• New York has gone 15-11, a 57.7% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of -108 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Islanders have a 51.9% chance to win.
• New York has combined with its opponent to score more than 5.5 goals in 19 of 41 games this season.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 134 total goals (3.4 per game) rank sixth in the league.
• Defensively, the Maple Leafs are conceding 133 total goals (3.3 per game) to rank 25th in league action.
• Its +1 goal differential ranks 12th in the league.
• The 17 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have recorded this season (on 101 power-play chances) rank 31st in the NHL.
• Toronto has the league's 25th-ranked power-play conversion rate (16.83%).
• The Maple Leafs have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
• Toronto has the league's fourth-best penalty-kill percentage (83.5%).
• Toronto wins the highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 56.3%.
• The Maple Leafs have a 12.3% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks third in the league.

Islanders Key Stats

• New York has 112 goals this season (2.7 per game), 22nd in the NHL.
• The Islanders' total of 113 goals conceded (2.8 per game) is eighth in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of -1, the team is 15th in the league.
• The Islanders have 21 power-play goals (on 131 chances), 22nd in the NHL.
• New York's power-play percentage (16.03) ranks the team 27th in the league.
• The Islanders have five shorthanded goals (fourth in NHL).
• New York's has the 12th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (81.2%).
• New York wins 51.4% of faceoffs, 10th-best in the NHL.
• The Islanders' 9.8% shooting percentage is 28th in the league.