Lynx vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 11

Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty (13-9) play the Minnesota Lynx (16-6) on Saturday, July 11, 2026 at Target Center. The game will start at 1 p.m. ET on ABC.

Minnesota beat Connecticut 86-80 in its last game. Kayla McBride led the way with 23 points, four assists and two steals, followed by Dorka Juhasz with 12 points and six rebounds.

New York lost to Dallas 88-77 at home in its most recent game. Its top performers were Stewart (29 PTS, 9 REB, 62.5 FG%) and Jonquel Jones (17 PTS, 12 REB, 2 BLK, 54.5 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT).

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Lynx vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Lynx-Liberty matchup.

• Favorite: Lynx (-5.5)
• Total: 174.5
• Lynx Moneyline: -188
• Liberty Moneyline: +152

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Lynx Betting Insights

• The Lynx have a 65.3% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• Minnesota is 13-4 in games as a moneyline favorite (winning 76.5% of those games).
• The Lynx are 14-8-0 ATS this season.
• In 10 of 22 games this season, Minnesota and its opponents have gone over 174.5 points.
• The Lynx have had an average of 169.4 points in their games this season, 5.1 fewer than this matchup's total.

Liberty Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Liberty based on the moneyline is 39.7%.
• New York has entered the game as the underdog four times this season and won three of those games.
• The Liberty have won 10 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• New York has played 10 games this season that have had more than 174.5 combined points scored.
• The average total for Liberty games this season is 170.9 points, 3.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Lynx vs. Liberty

• The 90 points per game Minnesota records are 6.2 more points than New York allows (83.8).
• The Lynx are 13-4 when scoring more than 83.8 points.
• Minnesota's offense has been much better in home games (91.5 PPG) compared to its play on the road (88.8 PPG). Similarly, its defense has been better when playing at home (80.6 PPG allowed) when compared to its play on the road (80.8 PPG allowed).
• New York scores 7.1 more points per game (87.8) than Minnesota allow its opponents to score (80.7).
• When they score more than 80.7 points, the Liberty are 12-4.
• In 2026 New York is putting up fewer points at home (84.2 per game) than on the road (92.2). But it also is conceding fewer points at home (79.8) than away (88.7).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.