Lynx vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 11

Two of the WNBA's best players will be on show when Natasha Howard (17 points per game, 13th in league) and the Minnesota Lynx (16-6) welcome in Breanna Stewart (20.5, sixth) and the New York Liberty (13-9) on Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET on ABC.

Minnesota defeated Connecticut 86-80 in its last game. Kayla McBride led the way with 23 points, four assists and two steals, followed by Dorka Juhasz with 12 points and six rebounds.

In its previous game, New York fell to Dallas 88-77 at home, with Stewart (29 PTS, 9 REB, 62.5 FG%) and Jonquel Jones (17 PTS, 12 REB, 2 BLK, 54.5 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) leading the way.

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Lynx vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Lynx-Liberty matchup.

• Favorite: Lynx (-5.5)
• Total: 175.5
• Lynx Moneyline: -196
• Liberty Moneyline: +158

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Lynx Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Lynx have an implied win probability of 66.2%.
• Minnesota has won 13 of the 17 games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (76.5%).
• The Lynx have compiled a 14-8-0 record against the spread this season.
• In 10 of 22 games this season, Minnesota and its opponents have scored more than 175.5 points.
• The average total in Lynx outings this year is 169.4, 6.1 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Liberty Betting Insights

• The Liberty have a 38.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• This season, New York has been the underdog four times and won three of those games.
• The Liberty have won 10 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• New York has played 10 games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 175.5 points.
• Liberty matchups this season have a 170.9-point average over/under, 4.6 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Lynx vs. Liberty

• Minnesota records 90 points per game, 6.2 more points than the 83.8 New York gives up.
• The Lynx are 13-4 when scoring more than 83.8 points.
• In the 2026 campaign, Minnesota is scoring 2.7 more points per home game than on the road (91.5 at home, 88.8 on the road), but is giving up 0.2 fewer points per home game compared to road games (80.6 at home, 80.8 on the road).
• New York's 87.8 points per game are 7.1 more points than the 80.7 Minnesota gives up to opponents.
• The Liberty have gone 12-4 when they've scored more than 80.7 points.
• New York averages 84.2 points per game at home, eight fewer points than away (92.2). On defense, it gives up 79.8 per game, 8.9 fewer points than away (88.7).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.