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Dodgers vs. Padres Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 4

04 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres are looking for another strong showing from a batter on a hot streak against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday at 10:10 p.m. ET, at Dodger Stadium. Jackson Merrill is currently on a two-game homer streak. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (8-5, 2.67 ERA) gets the start for the Dodgers, who are 58-31 this season and first in the NL West. Wandy Peralta (1-1, 2.38 ERA) is starting for the Padres, who are 43-44 and third in the NL West.

The Dodgers are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-263) at home over the Padres (+209). The game has an over/under of 8.5 runs.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, July 4, 2026
  • Game time: 10:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium
  • Favorite: Dodgers (-263)
  • Underdog: Padres (+209)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Dodgers vs. Padres

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Dodgers vs. Padres: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Dodgers have won 65.5% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (57-30).
  • San Diego has been underdogs in 52 games this season and has come away with the win 23 times (44.2%) in those contests.
  • Los Angeles has entered 16 games this season favored by -263 or more and is 10-6 in those contests.
  • The Padres have played as an underdog of +209 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Dodgers a 72.5% chance to win.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 32.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Dodgers vs. Padres: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Dodgers have combined with opponents to go over the total 42 times this season for a 42-47-0 record against the over/under.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of its 87 games with a total.
  • The Dodgers are 43-46-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Padres have posted a record of 47-40-0 against the spread this season.
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