Dodgers vs. Padres Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 4

The San Diego Padres will look to Jackson Merrill, currently on a two-game homer streak, versus the Los Angeles Dodgers at 10:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, at Dodger Stadium. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (8-5, 2.67 ERA) gets the start for the Dodgers, who are 58-31 this season and first in the NL West. Wandy Peralta (1-1, 2.38 ERA) is starting for the Padres, who are 43-44 and third in the NL West.

With the Padres (+207) visiting, the Dodgers (-260) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The over/under for the Dodgers-Padres game is set at 8.5.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Game time: 10:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Los Angeles, California
• Stadium: Dodger Stadium
• Favorite: Dodgers (-260)
• Underdog: Padres (+207)
• Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Dodgers vs. Padres

• TV Channel: SportsNet LA and SDPA
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

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Dodgers vs. Padres: Betting the Moneyline

• The Dodgers have won 57 of the 87 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (65.5%).
• San Diego has been underdogs in 52 games this season and has come away with the win 23 times (44.2%) in those contests.
• Los Angeles is 10-6 this season when entering a game favored by -260 or more on the moneyline.
• The Padres have played as an underdog of +207 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The Dodgers have an implied moneyline win probability of 72.2% in this matchup.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 32.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dodgers vs. Padres: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Dodgers have had an over/under set by bookmakers 89 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 42 of those games (42-47-0).
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of its 87 opportunities.
• The Dodgers have put together a 43-46-0 record against the spread this season (covering 48.3% of the time).
• The Padres are 47-40-0 against the spread in their 87 games that had a posted line this season.