Lightning vs. Senators NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 28

The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-21-6) host the Ottawa Senators (38-24-10) on Saturday, March 28, with both teams coming off a defeat in their last game. The Senators are underdogs on the road, at +145, and the Lightning are -175.

Tampa Bay's last game was a 4-3 overtime home loss against the Seattle Kraken on March 26. Charle-Edouard D'Astous (two assists) and Jake Guentzel (one goal and one assist) both had two points for the Lightning.

Ottawa played at home in its last game on March 26, and fell to the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in a shootout (2-1). The Senators got two points each out of Tim Stutzle (two assists) and Drake Batherson (two goals).

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which team will secure the win in Saturday's hockey action.

Lightning vs. Senators Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 5 - Senators 2
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.93 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Senators Moneylines

Take a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Senators game.

• Favorite: Lightning (-175)
• Underdog: Senators (+145)

Lightning Betting Insights

• In the 60 times this season the Lightning have been favored on the moneyline, they have finished 37-23 in those games.
• Tampa Bay is 18-9 (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -175 or shorter.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 63.6% to win.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 35 of 71 games this season.

Senators Betting Insights

• The Senators have been made an underdog 19 times this season, and won seven, or 36.8%, of those games.
• Ottawa has a record of 2-2 when it's been set as an underdog of +145 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Senators have a 40.8% chance to win.
• Ottawa's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 36 of 72 times.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay has scored the second-most goals in the league (256 total, 3.6 per game).
• Defensively, the Lightning have been one of the stingiest squads in league action, allowing 197 total goals (2.8 per game) to rank third.
• It has the league's second-best goal differential at +59.
• The 49 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season (on 214 power-play chances) rank 11th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay has the league's 12th-ranked power-play conversion rate (22.9%).
• The Lightning have scored five shorthanded goals this season.
• Tampa Bay's 81.82% penalty-kill success rate is the sixth-best in the league.
• Tampa Bay has the 25th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 47.7%.
• The Lightning shoot 12.8% as a team (third in the league).

Senators Key Stats

• Ottawa is ninth in the NHL in scoring (239 goals, 3.3 per game).
• The Senators concede 3.0 goals per game (219 in total), 17th in the NHL.
• Its +20 goal differential is the ninth-best in the league.
• With 54 power-play goals (on 233 chances), the Senators are fourth-best in the NHL.
• Ottawa scores on 23.18% of its power plays, No. 10 in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Senators have six.
• The 74.76% penalty-kill percentage of Ottawa is 30th in the NHL.
• Ottawa wins 54.6% of faceoffs, second-best in the NHL.
• The 11.5% shooting percentage of the Senators is 10th in the league.