Lightning vs. Sabres NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 6

A pair of the Eastern Conference's top clubs face one another on Monday, April 6 when the second-place Tampa Bay Lightning (48-22-6) visit the third-place Buffalo Sabres (46-23-8). Lightning (-122) at Sabres (+102) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay claimed a 3-1 home victory against the Boston Bruins its last time out on April 4. Jake Guentzel (one assist) and Ryan McDonagh (one assist) were among the seven Lightning players who recorded one point each.

Buffalo's last game was a road loss, 6-2, to the Washington Capitals on April 4. Rasmus Dahlin's two points (one goal and one assist) in that matchup led the Sabres.

Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Monday's hockey action.

Lightning vs. Sabres Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Sabres 3 - Lightning 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.02 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Sabres Moneylines

Snag a look below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Sabres game.

• Favorite: Lightning (-122)
• Underdog: Sabres (+102)

Lightning Betting Insights

• In the 64 times this season the Lightning have been favored on the moneyline, they have gone 40-24 in those games.
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -122 or shorter, Tampa Bay has compiled a 37-23 record (winning 61.7% of its games).
• The Lightning have a 55.0% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 36 of 75 games this season.

Sabres Betting Insights

• The Sabres have been an underdog in 35 games this season, and won 21 (60.0%).
• This season Buffalo has won 15 of its 25 games, or 60.0%, when it's the underdog by at least +102 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by the Sabres, based on the moneyline, is 49.5%.
• Buffalo's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 36 of 76 times.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay has scored the third-most goals in the NHL (273 total, 3.6 per game).
• The Lightning have allowed 209 total goals (2.8 per game), the third-fewest in NHL action.
• Its +64 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
• The 49 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season (on 230 power-play chances) rank 15th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay ranks 14th in the league with a 21.3% power-play conversion rate.
• The six shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 12th among NHL teams.
• Tampa Bay has the league's fifth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.28%).
• Tampa Bay wins 47.2% of its faceoffs (28th in NHL).
• The Lightning make 12.7% of their shots (third in the league).

Sabres Key Stats

• With 261 goals (3.4 per game), Buffalo has the league's seventh-best offense.
• The Sabres have conceded 231 total goals this season (three per game), 11th in the league.
• Its +30 goal differential is the seventh-best in the league.
• The Sabres have 48 power-play goals (16th in NHL) on 231 chances.
• Buffalo has the league's 16th-ranked power-play percentage (20.78%).
• This season, the Sabres have 10 shorthanded goals (third in NHL).
• Buffalo's has the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.08%).
• Buffalo wins 45.7% of faceoffs, 32nd-ranked in the NHL.
• The 12% shooting percentage of the Sabres is sixth in the league.