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Lightning vs. Red Wings NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 13

13 April 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning (49-25-6) host the Detroit Red Wings (41-30-9) on Monday, April 13, with the Lightning coming off a victory and the Red Wings a defeat. Lightning (-198) versus Red Wings (+164) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay earned a 2-1 road victory over the Boston Bruins its last time out on April 11. Jake Guentzel (one assist) and Emil Martinsen Lilleberg (one goal) were among the six Lightning skaters who recorded one point each.

Detroit's last game was a home loss, 5-3, to the New Jersey Devils on April 11. Emmitt Finnie (one goal and one assist) and Dylan Larkin (two assists) both had two points for the Red Wings in that outing.

Prepare for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Monday's hockey action.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Lightning vs. Red Wings Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Red Wings 4 - Lightning 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.08 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Moneylines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Red Wings game.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-198)
  • Underdog: Red Wings (+164)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning have been victorious in 41 of their 67 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (61.2%).
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -198 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 12-6 (winning 66.7% of the time).
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 66.4% to win.
  • Tampa Bay's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 37 times.

Red Wings Betting Insights

  • The Red Wings have been made an underdog 38 times this season, and won 20, or 52.6%, of those games.
  • Detroit has played as an underdog of +164 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 37.9% chance of victory for the Red Wings.
  • Detroit has played 34 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay has scored the fourth-most goals in the league (280 total, 3.5 per game).
  • The Lightning have allowed 222 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking third in NHL play for the fewest goals against.
  • Its +58 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
  • The 50 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 15th in the NHL (on 242 power-play chances).
  • Tampa Bay's 20.66% power-play conversion rate ranks 16th in the league.
  • The Lightning have recorded six shorthanded goals this season (15th among NHL squads).
  • Tampa Bay kills 82.54% of opponent power plays, the third-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Tampa Bay wins 47.4% of its faceoffs to rank 28th in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have a 12.5% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks third in the league.

Red Wings Key Stats

  • Detroit's 235 goals on the season (2.9 per game) rank 20th in the league.
  • The Red Wings have conceded 242 total goals this season (3.0 per game), 14th in the league.
  • it has the 18th-ranked goal differential in the league at -7.
  • The Red Wings have 56 power-play goals (on 242 chances), sixth in the NHL.
  • Detroit's power-play percentage (23.14) puts the team 11th in the league.
  • This season, the Red Wings have three shorthanded goals (28th in league).
  • At 77.4%, Detroit has the 23rd-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Detroit is 13th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (50.8%).
  • The Red Wings' 10.5% shooting percentage is 24th in the league.

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