Lightning vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 2

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins -- the former coming off a loss, the latter a victory -- will face each other on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. The bookmakers have made the Lightning solid favorites at -180 on the moneyline, and the Penguins are at +150.

Tampa Bay's last game was a 4-1 home loss to the Montreal Canadiens on March 31. Jake Guentzel (one goal) and Zemgus Girgensons (one assist) were among the three Lightning players who put up one point each.

Pittsburgh won at home in its most recent game on March 31, 5-1 over the Detroit Red Wings. Yegor Chinakhov led the Penguins with two points (one goal and one assist) in that matchup.

Prepare for this showdown with a look at who we project to come out on top in Thursday's contest.

Lightning vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Penguins 4 - Lightning 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.98 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Penguins Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Penguins game.

• Favorite: Lightning (-180)
• Underdog: Penguins (+150)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning are 38-24 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
• In games it has played with moneyline odds of -180 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 17-8 (winning 68.0% of the time).
• Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Lightning's implied win probability is 64.3%.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 35 of 73 games this season.

Penguins Betting Insights

• The Penguins have won 22, or 50.0%, of the 44 games they have played as an underdog this season.
• This season Pittsburgh has won four of its eight games when it's the underdog by at least +150 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by the Penguins, based on the moneyline, is 40.0%.
• Pittsburgh has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 40 of 74 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 264 total goals (3.6 per game) rank second in the league.
• The Lightning have conceded 205 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking second in league play for the fewest goals against.
• It has the league's second-best goal differential at +59.
• The 49 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season (on 226 power-play chances) rank 13th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay ranks 14th in the league with a 21.68% power-play conversion rate.
• The Lightning have scored five shorthanded goals this season.
• Tampa Bay has the league's third-best penalty-kill percentage (82.1%).
• Tampa Bay wins 47.6% of its faceoffs (26th in NHL).
• The Lightning shoot 12.6% as a team (third in the league).

Penguins Key Stats

• Pittsburgh is fourth in the NHL in scoring (260 goals, 3.5 per game).
• The Penguins have given up 228 total goals this season (3.0 per game), 16th in the league.
• With a goal differential of +32, the team is sixth-best in the league in that category.
• The Penguins have 51 power-play goals (on 213 chances), ninth in the NHL.
• Pittsburgh has the NHL's ninth-best power-play percentage (23.94%).
• This season, the Penguins have six shorthanded goals (11th in league).
• Pittsburgh's has the eighth-best penalty-kill percentage (81.45%).
• At 47.9%, Pittsburgh has the league's 24th-ranked faceoff win rate.
• The Penguins' 12% shooting percentage is sixth in the league.