Lightning vs. Oilers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 21

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Edmonton Oilers are coming off a victory and a defeat, respectively, heading into their matchup at Rogers Place on Saturday at 10 p.m. ET. The oddsmakers have made the Lightning solid favorites at -135 on the moneyline, despite being the visitors, and the Oilers are at +114.

Tampa Bay won 6-2 on the road its last time out on March 19 against the Vancouver Canucks. The Lightning were led by Anthony Cirelli (one goal and two assists) and Nikita Kucherov (one goal and two assists).

Edmonton lost 4-0 at home against the Florida Panthers in its most recent game on March 19. Connor Ingram had 19 saves for the Oilers while allowing four Panthers goals in that matchup.

As hockey action continues, prepare for the contest by checking out which team we predict will capture the win in Saturday's game.

Lightning vs. Oilers Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Edmonton Oilers, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Oilers 4 - Lightning 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.96 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Oilers Moneylines

Take a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Oilers game.

• Favorite: Lightning (-135)
• Underdog: Oilers (+114)

Lightning Betting Insights

• In the 56 times this season the Lightning have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 35-21 in those games.
• Tampa Bay is 30-13 when playing with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter (69.8% win percentage).
• The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Lightning have a 57.4% chance to win.
• In 31 games this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Oilers Betting Insights

• The Oilers have been listed as an underdog 11 times this season, and won four, or 36.4%, of those games.
• Edmonton has a record of 1-2 when it's been set as an underdog of +114 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win by the Oilers, based on the moneyline, is 46.7%.
• Edmonton has played 42 games this season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay has scored the fourth-most goals in the NHL (239 total, 3.6 per game).
• Defensively, the Lightning have been one of the stingiest units in NHL play, allowing 184 total goals (2.8 per game) to rank third.
• It has the league's second-best goal differential at +55.
• The 44 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season rank 13th in the NHL (on 205 power-play chances).
• Tampa Bay has the league's 14th-ranked power-play conversion rate (21.46%).
• The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 24th among NHL teams.
• Tampa Bay's 82.08% penalty-kill success rate is the eighth-best in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins 47.4% of its faceoffs to rank 28th in the NHL.
• The Lightning have a 12.7% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks third in the league.

Oilers Key Stats

• Edmonton is second in the NHL in scoring (243 goals, 3.5 per game).
• The Oilers' total of 236 goals conceded (3.4 per game) is 28th in the league.
• it has the 14th-ranked goal differential in the league at +7.
• With 61 power-play goals, the Oilers lead the NHL (on 194 power-play chances).
• Edmonton's power-play percentage (31.44%) is tops in the league.
• This season, the Oilers have five shorthanded goals (16th in NHL).
• At 77.6%, Edmonton has the 26th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Edmonton wins 52.9% of faceoffs, fourth-best in the NHL.
• With a shooting percentage of 11.7%, the Oilers are eighth in the league.