Lightning vs. Kraken NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 26
26 March 2026

The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-21-5) host the Seattle Kraken (31-29-10) on Thursday, March 26, with the Lightning coming off a victory and the Kraken a defeat. Lightning (-290) versus Kraken (+235) appears like a mismatch, according to the moneyline odds.
Tampa Bay won 6-3 at home its last time out on March 24 against the Minnesota Wild. Darren Raddysh led the Lightning with three points (one goal and two assists).
Seattle was on the road for its most recent game on March 24, and fell to the Florida Panthers 5-4, losing a shootout 1-0. Jordan Eberle's two points (one goal and one assist) in that outing led the Kraken.
Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our pick for which squad will emerge victorious in Thursday's hockey action.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Lightning vs. Kraken Predictions & Pick
For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Seattle Kraken, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Lightning 4 - Kraken 1
- Pick OU:
Under 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 5.08 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Lightning vs. Kraken Moneylines
Snag a look below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Kraken matchup.
- Favorite: Lightning (-290)
- Underdog: Kraken (+235)
Lightning Betting Insights
- The Lightning have gone 37-22 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
- In games it has played with moneyline odds of -290 or shorter, Tampa Bay has put together a 3-1 record (winning 75.0% of its games).
- Based on the moneyline in this matchup, the Lightning's implied win probability is 74.4%.
- In 34 games this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
Kraken Betting Insights
- This season the Kraken have won 26 of the 60 games, or 43.3%, in which they've been an underdog.
- Seattle has played as a moneyline underdog of +235 or longer two times this season, and lost both.
- The moneyline set for this contest implies a 29.9% chance of victory for the Kraken.
- Seattle has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 23 of 70 games this season.
Lightning Key Stats
- Tampa Bay's 253 total goals (3.6 per game) make it the second-highest scoring team in the league.
- The Lightning have given up 193 total goals (2.8 per game), the third-fewest in NHL play.
- It has the league's second-best goal differential at +60.
- The 48 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season are 10th-best in the NHL (on 213 power-play chances).
- Tampa Bay ranks 12th in the league with a 22.54% power-play conversion rate.
- The Lightning have scored five shorthanded goals this season.
- Tampa Bay kills 81.74% of opponent power plays, the seventh-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Tampa Bay has the 26th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 47.5%.
- The Lightning connect on 12.9% of their shots (third in the league).
Kraken Key Stats
- Seattle has 199 goals this season (2.8 per game), 24th in the NHL.
- The Kraken give up 3.0 goals per game (213 in total), 13th in the NHL.
- Its -14 goal differential ranks 19th in the league.
- The Kraken have 41 power-play goals (on 199 chances), 17th in the NHL.
- Seattle scores on 20.6% of its power plays, No. 16 in the league.
- In terms of shorthanded goals, the Kraken have two.
- At 73.94%, Seattle has the 31st-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Seattle wins 47.8% of faceoffs, 25th-ranked in the NHL.
- With a shooting percentage of 11.2%, the Kraken are 12th in the league.
