Lightning vs. Kraken NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 15
15 October 2026

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Seattle Kraken -- the former coming off a defeat, the latter a victory -- will face each other on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. Lightning (-270) versus Kraken (+220) appears lopsided, according to the moneyline odds.
Tampa Bay's most recent game was a 4-1 road loss to the New York Rangers on Oct. 13. Three Lightning skaters recorded one point each, including Zemgus Girgensons (one goal) and Pontus Holmberg (one assist).
Seattle won 3-2 in a shootout in its most recent game on Oct. 13 on the road against the Philadelphia Flyers, winning the shootout 2-1 to earn the victory. Ville Ottavainen (one goal) and Bobby McMann (one goal) were among the six Kraken skaters who recorded one point each in that matchup.
Get ready for this matchup with a look at who we predict will come out on top in Thursday's contest.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Lightning vs. Kraken Predictions & Pick
For the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Seattle Kraken, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Lightning 3 - Kraken 2
- Pick OU:
Under 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 5 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Lightning vs. Kraken Moneylines
Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Kraken game.
- Favorite: Lightning (-270)
- Underdog: Kraken (+220)
Lightning Betting Insights
- The Lightning have gone 4-2 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
- Tampa Bay is yet to play with moneyline odds of -270 or shorter.
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 73.0% to win.
- Only one of Tampa Bay's six games has finished with more than 6.5 goals.
Kraken Betting Insights
- This season the Kraken have won four of the six games in which they've been an underdog.
- Seattle has not had a game this season with longer odds on the moneyline than +220.
- Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Kraken have a 31.2% chance to win.
- Seattle has played five games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.
Lightning Key Stats
- Tampa Bay's 17 total goals (2.8 per game) make it the 22nd-ranked scoring team in the NHL.
- Defensively, the Lightning are one of the stingiest units in league action, giving up 16 total goals (2.7 per game) to rank fourth.
- Its goal differential (+1) ranks 17th in the league.
- The two power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season (on 24 power-play chances) rank 26th in the NHL.
- Tampa Bay's 8.33% power-play conversion rate ranks 31st in the league.
- Tampa Bay's 80.00% penalty-kill success rate ranks 17th in the league.
- Tampa Bay wins 46% of its faceoffs (27th in NHL).
- The Lightning shoot 9.6% as a team (26th in the league).
Kraken Key Stats
- Seattle is fifth in the league in scoring (28 goals, 4.0 per game).
- The Kraken have given up 19 total goals this season (2.7 per game), 12th in the league.
- It has the sixth-best goal differential in the league at +9.
- With five power-play goals (on 22 chances), the Kraken are ninth-best in the NHL.
- Seattle has the league's 12th-ranked power-play percentage (22.73%).
- The 78.95% penalty-kill percentage of Seattle is 20th in the NHL.
- Seattle is 20th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (49.1%).
- The Kraken's 14.9% shooting percentage is second in the league.
