Lightning vs. Islanders NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 10

Both the Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders are coming off a win, heading into their matchup at UBS Arena on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Islanders are big underdogs despite being the hosts, at +142, and the Lightning are -170.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which team will bring home the win in Saturday's hockey action.

Lightning vs. Islanders Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 2 - Islanders 1
• Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 3 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Islanders Moneylines

Take a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Islanders matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-170)
• Underdog: Islanders (+142)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning won 50.0% of their games last season when favored on the moneyline (5-5).
• Tampa Bay went 2-3 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -170 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Lightning a 63.0% chance to win.
• Of Tampa Bay's 10 games last season, three finished above this game's total of 5.5 goals.

Islanders Betting Insights

• The Islanders lost the only game they played as the underdog last season.
• New York did not enter a game last season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +142 odds on them winning this game.
• The moneyline for this outing implies a 41.3% chance of victory for the Islanders.
• New York did not play a game last season that finished with more than 5.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 286 goals scored last season (3.5 per game) ranked fourth in the NHL.
• The Lightning allowed 229 total goals (2.8 per game), the third-fewest in league action.
• Its +57 goal differential was the second-best in the league.
• The 50 power-play goals the Lightning recorded last season (on 246 power-play chances) ranked 16th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay was 17th in the league with a 20.33% power-play conversion rate.
• The Lightning scored six shorthanded goals last season (16th among NHL squads).
• Tampa Bay's 82.56% penalty-kill success rate was the third-best in the league.
• Tampa Bay had the 28th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 47.3%.
• The Lightning shot 12.5% as a team (third in the league).

Islanders Key Stats

• New York's 229 goals last season (2.8 per game) ranked 25th in the NHL.
• The Islanders had one of the best defenses in the NHL, giving up 236 total goals (2.9 per game), fifth in the league.
• Its -7 goal differential was 17th in the league.
• The Islanders had 40 power-play goals (on 242 chances), 26th in the NHL.
• New York had the league's 30th-ranked power-play percentage (16.53%).
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Islanders had nine.
• At 80.84%, New York had the 10th-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• New York was fifth in faceoff win rate in the NHL (52.7%).
• With a shooting percentage of 9.9%, the Islanders were 28th in the league.