Lightning vs. Flyers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 5

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers -- the former coming off a victory, the latter a loss -- will face each other on Monday at 7 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. The Flyers are underdogs away from home, at +180, and the Lightning are -218.

As hockey play continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which squad we project to pick up the victory in Monday's game.

Lightning vs. Flyers Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Flyers 2 - Lightning 1
• Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 3 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Flyers Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Flyers matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-218)
• Underdog: Flyers (+180)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning won 45 of their 76 games when listed as a moneyline favorite last season (59.2%).
• Tampa Bay had a 10-4 record (winning 71.4% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -218 or shorter.
• The Lightning have an implied moneyline win probability of 68.6% in this matchup.
• Of Tampa Bay's 88 games last season, 51 finished above this game's total of 5.5 goals.

Flyers Betting Insights

• The Flyers were an underdog in 63 games last season, and won 27 (42.9%).
• Philadelphia had a record of 4-6, a 40.0% win rate, when set as an underdog by +180 or more last season.
• The Flyers have a 35.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Philadelphia's games last season had over 5.5 goals 45 of 90 times.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 286 goals scored last season (3.5 per game) ranked fourth in the NHL.
• The Lightning conceded 229 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking third in NHL action for the fewest goals against.
• Its goal differential (+57) made it second-best in the league.
• The 50 power-play goals the Lightning scored last season ranked 16th in the NHL (on 246 power-play chances).
• Tampa Bay's 20.33% power-play conversion rate ranked 17th in the league.
• The Lightning scored six shorthanded goals last season.
• Tampa Bay had the league's third-best penalty-kill percentage (82.56%).
• Tampa Bay won 47.3% of its faceoffs (28th in NHL).
• The Lightning had a 12.5% shooting percentage, which ranked third in the league.

Flyers Key Stats

• Philadelphia had 240 goals last season (2.9 per game), 21st in the NHL.
• The Flyers had one of the best defenses in the league, allowing 239 total goals (2.9 per game), ninth in the NHL.
• It had the 15th-ranked goal differential in the league at +1.
• With 37 power-play goals (on 235 chances), the Flyers were 31st in the NHL.
• Philadelphia had the NHL's 32nd-ranked power-play percentage (15.74%).
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Flyers had seven.
• The 77.55% penalty-kill percentage of Philadelphia was 22nd in the NHL.
• Philadelphia was 18th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (49.6%).
• The 11.5% shooting percentage of the Flyers was 12th in the league.