Lightning vs. Flames NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 22

The Tampa Bay Lightning (43-21-4) visit the Calgary Flames (28-34-7) on Sunday, March 22, with both coming off a victory. The Flames are big underdogs despite being at home, at +145, and the Lightning are -175.

Tampa Bay claimed a 5-2 road victory against the Edmonton Oilers its last time out on March 21. Nikita Kucherov's four points (two goals and two assists) led the Lightning.

Calgary won at home in its last game on March 20, 4-1 over the Florida Panthers. Blake Coleman led the Flames with two points (two assists) in that outing.

Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will come out on top in Sunday's hockey action.

Lightning vs. Flames Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Calgary Flames, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 3 - Flames 1
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.03 goals)
  

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Lightning vs. Flames Moneylines

Grab a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Flames matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-175)
• Underdog: Flames (+145)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have won 63.2% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (36-21).
• Tampa Bay is 18-7 (winning 72.0% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -175 or shorter.
• The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 63.6% in this game.
• Tampa Bay's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 32 times.

Flames Betting Insights

• The Flames have won 19, or 34.5%, of the 55 games they have played while the underdog this season.
• Calgary has a record of 5-12 in games when bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +145 on the moneyline.
• The Flames have a 40.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Calgary has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 23 of 69 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 244 total goals (3.6 per game) rank third in the league.
• The Lightning have allowed 186 total goals (2.7 per game), the third-fewest in league play.
• Its +58 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
• The 45 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season rank 13th in the NHL (on 208 power-play chances).
• Tampa Bay ranks 14th in the league with a 21.63% power-play conversion rate.
• The Lightning have recorded five shorthanded goals this season (16th among NHL teams).
• Tampa Bay kills 82.33% of opponent power plays, the seventh-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins 47.5% of its faceoffs to rank 26th in the NHL.
• The Lightning have a 12.8% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks third in the league.

Flames Key Stats

• Calgary has 170 goals this season (2.5 per game), 32nd in the NHL.
• The Flames have allowed 211 total goals this season (3.1 per game), 16th in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of -41, the team is 30th in the league.
• The Flames have 32 power-play goals (on 203 chances), 28th in the NHL.
• Calgary's power-play percentage (15.76) puts the team 31st in the league.
• The Flames have a league-leading 11 shorthanded goals.
• The 81% penalty-kill percentage of Calgary is 10th in the NHL.
• Calgary is 22nd in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (48.7%).
• The Flames' 8.6% shooting percentage is 32nd in the league.