Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 31

The Tampa Bay Lightning (46-21-6) will host the Montreal Canadiens (42-21-10) on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET, in a game featuring two of the best squads in the Eastern Conference. The Canadiens are underdogs on the road, at +142, and the Lightning are -170.

Tampa Bay won 3-2 at home its last time out on March 29 against the Nashville Predators. Jake Guentzel had three points (one goal and two assists) for the Lightning.

Montreal won on the road in its last game on March 29, 3-1 over the Carolina Hurricanes. Nicholas Suzuki led the Canadiens with three points (two goals and one assist) in that matchup.

Prepare for this matchup with a look at who we project to come out on top in Tuesday's game.

Lightning vs. Canadiens Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 3 - Canadiens 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.05 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Canadiens Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Canadiens matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-170)
• Underdog: Canadiens (+142)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have been victorious in 38 of their 61 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (62.3%).
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -170 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 20-10 (winning 66.7% of the time).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 63.0% to win.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 35 of 72 games this season.

Canadiens Betting Insights

• The Canadiens have won 22, or 61.1%, of the 36 games they have played as an underdog this season.
• Montreal is 4-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +142 or more on the moneyline.
• The Canadiens have a 41.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Montreal has played 41 games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 263 total goals (3.6 per game) make it the second-highest scoring team in the league.
• The Lightning have conceded 201 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking third in league action for the fewest goals against.
• It has the league's second-best goal differential at +62.
• The 49 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season (to rank 11th in the NHL) have come on 222 power-play chances.
• Tampa Bay's 22.07% power-play conversion rate ranks 13th in the league.
• The five shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 20th among NHL squads.
• Tampa Bay kills 82.3% of opponent power plays, the third-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins 47.6% of its faceoffs to rank 27th in the NHL.
• The Lightning connect on 12.8% of their shots (third in the league).

Canadiens Key Stats

• Montreal's 256 goals on the season (3.5 per game) rank fourth in the league.
• The Canadiens' total of 228 goals given up (3.1 per game) is 20th in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of +28, the team is sixth-best in the league in that category.
• The Canadiens have 51 power-play goals (on 208 chances), eighth in the NHL.
• Montreal scores on 24.52% of its power plays, No. 4 in the NHL.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Canadiens have seven.
• Montreal's has the 27th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (76.44%).
• Montreal wins 51% of faceoffs, 10th-best in the NHL.
• The 13.2% shooting percentage of the Canadiens tops the league.