Lightning vs. Bruins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 4

Anthony Cirelli will be coming off a hat trick when his Tampa Bay Lightning host the Boston Bruins on Saturday at 5 p.m. ET. Lightning (-185) versus Bruins (+154) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay earned a 6-3 home victory against the Pittsburgh Penguins its last time out on April 2. The Lightning were led by Cirelli (three goals) and Nikita Kucherov (one goal and two assists).

Boston's most recent game was a road loss, 2-1, to the Florida Panthers on April 2. Fraser Minten (one goal) and Marat Khusnutdinov (one assist) were among the three Bruins players who collected one point each in that matchup.

Get ready for this matchup with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Saturday's contest.

Lightning vs. Bruins Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 3 - Bruins 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.06 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Bruins Moneylines

Take a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Bruins matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-185)
• Underdog: Bruins (+154)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have won 61.9% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (39-24).
• Tampa Bay is 15-7 (victorious in 68.2% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -185 or shorter.
• Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Lightning's implied win probability is 64.9%.
• In 36 games this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Bruins Betting Insights

• The Bruins have been an underdog in 47 games this season, and won 24 (51.1%).
• This season Boston has won seven of its 13 games, or 53.8%, when it's the underdog by at least +154 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 39.4% chance of victory for the Bruins.
• Boston has played 39 games this season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 270 total goals (3.6 per game) make it the second-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• Defensively, the Lightning are one of the stingiest squads in league action, allowing 208 total goals (2.8 per game) to rank third.
• Its +62 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
• The 49 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 13th in the NHL (on 229 power-play chances).
• Tampa Bay's 21.4% power-play conversion rate ranks 14th in the league.
• The six shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 11th among NHL squads.
• Tampa Bay's 81.97% penalty-kill success rate is the fifth-best in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins 47.5% of its faceoffs (28th in NHL).
• The Lightning shoot 12.7% as a team (third in the league).

Bruins Key Stats

• Boston is eighth in the NHL in scoring (253 goals, 3.3 per game).
• The Bruins' total of 232 goals given up (3.0 per game) is 18th in the NHL.
• It has the 10th-best goal differential in the league at +21.
• The Bruins have 54 power-play goals (on 227 chances), fifth in the NHL.
• Boston scores on 23.79% of its power plays, No. 9 in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Bruins have two.
• Boston's has the 26th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (76.43%).
• Boston wins 52.9% of faceoffs, fourth-best in the NHL.
• The Bruins' 12.2% shooting percentage is fourth in the league.