Liberty vs. Wings: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 7

The Dallas Wings (13-8) will look to Paige Bueckers (sixth in WNBA, 20.3 points per game) to help overcome Breanna Stewart (seventh in league, 20.1) and the New York Liberty (13-8) on Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at Barclays Center, at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.

New York picked up a 99-86 win versus Minnesota last time out. The team was led by Stewart's 36 points, seven rebounds and two blocks and Sabrina Ionescu's 17 points, six assists, two steals and two blocks.

Dallas beat Toronto 89-76 on the road last time out, and were led by Bueckers (22 PTS, 7 AST, 56.3 FG%) and Azzi Fudd (17 PTS, 3 STL, 37.5 FG%, 5-11 from 3PT).

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Liberty vs. Wings Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Liberty-Wings game.

• Favorite: Liberty (-4.5)
• Total: 175.5
• Liberty Moneyline: -178
• Wings Moneyline: +144

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Liberty Betting Insights

• The Liberty have a 64.0% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• New York has won 58.8% of its games this season as a moneyline favorite (10-7).
• The Liberty have put together a 10-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• New York's 21 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 175.5 points 10 times.
• The Liberty have an average point total of 170.6 in their matchups this year, 4.9 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Wings Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Wings based on the moneyline is 41.0%.
• Dallas has been the underdog in 10 games this season and won four (40%) of those contests.
• The Wings have covered 10 times in 21 matchups with a spread this year.
• Dallas' games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 175.5 points in nine of 21 outings.
• The Wings have had an average of 174.5 points scored in their games so far this season, 1.0 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Liberty vs. Wings

• The 88.3 points per game New York puts up are just 3.3 more points than Dallas gives up (85).
• The Liberty are 10-3 when scoring more than 85 points.
• In 2026, New York's offense has been significantly worse at home, where it averages 84.8 points per game, compared to on the road, where it scores 92.2. On defense, it has been much tougher when playing at home, where it gives up 79 points per game, versus road games, where it allows opponents to average 88.7.
• Dallas' 88.3 points per game are only 4.7 more points than the 83.6 New York gives up to opponents.
• The Wings have gone 12-2 when they've scored more than 83.6 points.
• Dallas puts up fewer points per game at home (86.1) than away (90), but also gives up fewer at home (76.9) than away (91.2).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.