Liberty vs. Valkyries: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 21

The New York Liberty (3-1) square off against the Golden State Valkyries (2-1) at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, May 21, 2026 on Amazon Prime Video and WWOR.

New York picked up a 100-82 win against Portland in their last outing. The squad was led by Breanna Stewart's 22 points and seven rebounds and Pauline Astier's 20 points.

Golden State lost to Chicago 69-63 at home in its most recent game. Its top performers were Gabby Williams (18 PTS, 35.3 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) and Veronica Burton (16 PTS, 33.3 FG%, 2-6 from 3PT).

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Liberty vs. Valkyries Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the latest betting lines for the Liberty-Valkyries matchup.

• Favorite: Liberty (-7.5)
• Total: 169.5
• Liberty Moneyline: -325
• Valkyries Moneyline: +250

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Liberty Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Liberty's implied win probability is 76.5%.
• New York won 27 of the 37 games it was favored on the moneyline last season (73%).
• The Liberty put together an 18-29-0 ATS record last year.
• In 15 of 47 games last season, New York and its opponents combined to score more than 169.5 points.
• The Liberty had an average point total of 165.9 in their contests last season, 3.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Valkyries Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• The Valkyries have a 28.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Golden State won 13, or 38.2%, of the 34 games it played as an underdog last season.
• The Valkyries put together a 27-19-0 record against the spread last season.
• Golden State combined with its opponents to score more than 169.5 points in eight of 46 games last season.
• The average over/under for Valkyries matchups last year was 157.3, 12.2 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Liberty vs. Valkyries

• Last year, New York scored 8.1 more points per game (84.4) than Golden State gave up (76.3).
• When the Liberty put up more than 76.3 points last season, they went 26-11.
• New York averaged 86.4 points per game at home last season, compared to 82.4 points per game on the road, a difference of 4.0 points per contest.
• Golden State's 77.7 points per game last year were just 2.6 fewer points than the 80.3 New York gave up to opponents.
• When they scored more than 80.3 points last season, the Valkyries went 13-3.
• Golden State scored 79.1 points per game at home last season, and 76.4 away.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.