Liberty vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 29

The Phoenix Mercury (2-6) travel to face the New York Liberty (4-4) after dropping three consecutive road games. It tips at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, May 29, 2026.

New York's most recent game ended in a win over Phoenix 84-74 at home. Marine Johannes (21 PTS, 5 AST, 2 STL, 63.6 FG%, 7-9 from 3PT) and Jonquel Jones (17 PTS, 12 REB, 31.3 FG%, 3-7 from 3PT) led the way for the Liberty. Kahleah Copper (19 PTS, 33.3 FG%, 2-9 from 3PT) and Natasha Mack (14 PTS, 2 BLK, 85.7 FG%) were the top performers for the Mercury.

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Liberty vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Liberty-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Liberty (-5.5)
• Total: 170.5
• Liberty Moneyline: -225
• Mercury Moneyline: +180

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Liberty Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Liberty have an implied win probability of 69.2%.
• New York has won 50% of its games this season as a moneyline favorite (4-4).
• The Liberty have put together a 3-5-0 ATS record so far this year.
• In four games this season, New York and its opponents have gone over 170.5 total points.
• The average point total in Liberty contests this year is 171.1, 0.6 more than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.7% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog four times this season and won once.
• The Mercury have put together a 3-5-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Phoenix has played five games this season that ended with a combined score over 170.5 points.
• The Mercury have had an average of 168.5 points scored in their games so far this season, 2.0 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Liberty vs. Mercury

• New York records just 1.4 more points per game (88) than Phoenix allows (86.6).
• The Liberty are 3-1 when scoring more than 86.6 points.
• Phoenix's 85.6 points per game are just 0.5 more points than the 85.1 New York gives up.
• The Mercury have gone 2-2 when they've scored more than 85.1 points.
• At home, Phoenix is better offensively, averaging 88.3 points per game, compared to 83 away. But it is not as good defensively, giving up 91.5 points per game at home, and 81.8 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.