Liberty vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 29

The Phoenix Mercury (2-6) will visit the New York Liberty (4-4) after losing three consecutive road games. It begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, May 29, 2026.

In New York's most recent matchup, it knocked off Phoenix 84-74 at home. Marine Johannes (21 PTS, 5 AST, 2 STL, 63.6 FG%, 7-9 from 3PT) and Jonquel Jones (17 PTS, 12 REB, 31.3 FG%, 3-7 from 3PT) led the way for the Liberty. Kahleah Copper (19 PTS, 33.3 FG%, 2-9 from 3PT) and Natasha Mack (14 PTS, 2 BLK, 85.7 FG%) paced the Mercury.

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Liberty vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the latest betting lines for the Liberty-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Liberty (-6.5)
• Total: 169.5
• Liberty Moneyline: -245
• Mercury Moneyline: +194

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Liberty Betting Insights

• The Liberty have a 71.0% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• New York is 4-4 in games as a moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).
• The Liberty have put together a 3-5-0 ATS record so far this year.
• In four of eight games this season, New York and its opponents have combined to total more than 169.5 points.
• The Liberty have an average total of 171.1 in their contests this year, 1.6 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Mercury based on the moneyline is 34.0%.
• This season, Phoenix has won one out of the four games in which it has been the underdog.
• The Mercury have covered three times in eight games with a spread this season.
• Phoenix has played five games this season that have gone over 169.5 combined points scored.
• The Mercury have had an average of 168.5 points scored in their games so far this season, 1.0 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Liberty vs. Mercury

• New York records only 1.4 more points per game (88) than Phoenix allows (86.6).
• When the Liberty score more than 86.6 points, they are 3-1.
• Phoenix scores just 0.5 more points per game (85.6) than New York allows (85.1).
• The Mercury have gone 2-2 when they've scored more than 85.1 points.
• At home, Phoenix is better offensively, putting up 88.3 points per game, compared to 83 on the road. But it is not as good defensively, conceding 91.5 points per game at home, and 81.8 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.