Liberty vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 27

Two struggling squads hit the court when the New York Liberty (3-4) host the Phoenix Mercury (2-5) on Wednesday, May 27, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The Liberty will aim to a three-game losing streak against the Mercury, losers of three in a row.

New York fell short of victory by a final score of 81-74 versus Portland in their last outing. The squad was led by Breanna Stewart's 25 points, seven rebounds and three steals and Marine Johannes' 17 points and six assists.

Phoenix lost on the road to Atlanta, 82-80, in its last game. Its top scorers were Kahleah Copper (20 PTS, 37.5 FG%) and Alyssa Thomas (20 PTS, 12 REB, 7 AST, 2 STL, 69.2 FG%).

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Liberty vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Liberty-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Liberty (-5.5)
• Total: 172.5
• Liberty Moneyline: -215
• Mercury Moneyline: +172

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Liberty Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Liberty have an implied win probability of 68.3%.
• New York has won 42.9% of its games this season as a moneyline favorite (3-4).
• The Liberty have a record of 2-5-0 against the spread this season.
• New York's seven games this season have gone over this contest's total of 172.5 points four times.
• The Liberty have an average total of 171.4 in their matchups this year, 1.1 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 36.8% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog three times this season and won once.
• The Mercury have compiled a 3-4-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Phoenix has played four games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 172.5 points.
• The average total for Mercury games this season is 168.4 points, 4.1 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Liberty vs. Mercury

• New York scores 88.6 points per game, just 1.6 more points than the 87.0 Phoenix allows.
• The Liberty are 3-1 when scoring more than 87.0 points.
• Phoenix scores an average of 87.3 points per game, just 0.6 more points than the 86.7 New York allows to opponents.
• The Mercury have gone 2-2 when they've scored more than 86.7 points.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.