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Kings vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 4

04 April 2026 By Data Skrive

The Los Angeles Kings (30-26-19) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (32-31-13) on Saturday, April 4, with both coming off a loss. Kings (-198) versus Maple Leafs (+164) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Los Angeles fell short in a shootout at home its last time out on April 2 against the Nashville Predators 5-4, losing the shootout 1-0 to seal the defeat. Adrian Kempe (two goals) and Joel Armia (one goal and one assist) each had two points for the Kings.

Toronto's last game was a road loss, 4-1, to the San Jose Sharks on April 2. Three Maple Leafs skaters recorded one point each in that matchup, including Easton Cowan (one assist) and John Tavares (one goal).

Here's our pick for who will capture the victory in Saturday's game.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Kings vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Los Angeles Kings and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Maple Leafs 3 - Kings 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.05 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Take a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Kings-Maple Leafs game.

  • Favorite: Kings (-198)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+164)

Kings Betting Insights

  • The Kings have gone 20-26 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
  • Los Angeles is 2-4 (victorious in only 33.3% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -198 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Kings have an implied probability of 66.4% to win.
  • Los Angeles and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 27 of 74 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in 41 games this season, and won 15 (36.6%).
  • This season Toronto has won four of its 10 games, or 40.0%, when it's the underdog by at least +164 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 37.9% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
  • Toronto's games this season have had over 6.5 goals 42 of 75 times.

Kings Key Stats

  • Los Angeles ranks 29th in the league with 197 goals scored (2.6 per game).
  • The Kings have given up 219 total goals (2.9 per game), the seventh-fewest in league play.
  • It has the league's 23rd-ranked goal differential at -22.
  • The 37 power-play goals the Kings have recorded this season rank 26th in the NHL (on 212 power-play chances).
  • Los Angeles ranks 28th in the league with a 17.45% power-play conversion rate.
  • The seven shorthanded goals the Kings have scored this season rank seventh among NHL teams.
  • Los Angeles' 75.44% penalty-kill success rate ranks 29th in the league.
  • Los Angeles has the 20th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 49.4%.
  • The Kings connect on 9.4% of their shots (30th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto's 235 goals on the season (3.1 per game) rank 16th in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs allow 3.5 goals per game (264 in total), 30th in the NHL.
  • Its -29 goal differential ranks 26th in the league.
  • With 37 power-play goals (on 185 chances), the Maple Leafs are 26th in the NHL.
  • Toronto scores on 20% of its power plays, No. 18 in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs have five shorthanded goals (21st in league).
  • At 81.9%, Toronto has the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Toronto wins 54.6% of faceoffs, tops in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs' 11.6% shooting percentage is ninth in the league.

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