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Kings vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 1

01 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Los Angeles Kings and Tampa Bay Lightning -- the former coming off a loss, the latter a victory -- will face each other on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The sportsbooks see this as a tight game, with the Kings -115 to win on the moneyline, and the Lightning at -105.

Los Angeles suffered a 5-2 loss on the road its last time out on Dec. 29 against the Colorado Avalanche. Corey Perry (one goal) and Joel Edmundson (one assist) were among the five Kings skaters who recorded one point each.

Tampa Bay won its last game 4-3 on the road over the Anaheim Ducks on Dec. 31. Brandon Hagel had three points (three assists) in that matchup for the Lightning.

Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which club we predict will emerge with the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

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Kings vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Los Angeles Kings and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Kings 2 - Lightning 1
  • Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 3.07 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Kings vs. Lightning Moneylines

Snag a look below at the latest moneylines for the Kings-Lightning matchup.

  • Favorite: Kings (-115)
  • Underdog: Lightning (-105)

Kings Betting Insights

  • In the 26 times this season the Kings have been favored on the moneyline, they have finished 11-15 in those games.
  • Los Angeles is 10-15 when it has played with moneyline odds of -115 or shorter (40.0% win percentage).
  • The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Kings have a 53.5% chance to win.
  • Los Angeles and its opponent have gone over 5.5 combined goals in 16 of 38 games this season.

Lightning Betting Insights

  • This season the Lightning have been an underdog eight times, and won five of those games.
  • This season Tampa Bay has won five of its eight games when it's the underdog by at least -105 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 51.2% chance of victory for the Lightning.
  • Tampa Bay has played 21 games this season that finished with over 5.5 goals.

Kings Key Stats

  • Los Angeles ranks 31st in the NHL with 98 goals scored (2.6 per game).
  • The Kings have allowed 97 total goals (2.6 per game), ranking second in league play for the fewest goals against.
  • Its goal differential (+1) ranks 12th in the league.
  • The 17 power-play goals the Kings have scored this season rank 30th in the NHL (on 118 power-play chances).
  • Los Angeles has the league's 32nd-ranked power-play conversion rate (14.41%).
  • The Kings have scored seven shorthanded goals this season to pace the NHL.
  • Los Angeles kills 78.29% of opponent power plays, the 22nd-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Los Angeles wins 49.5% of its faceoffs to rank 19th in the NHL.
  • The Kings shoot 9.2% as a team (30th in the league).

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay is sixth in the league in scoring (129 goals, 3.3 per game).
  • The Lightning's total of 103 goals conceded (2.6 per game) is third in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of +26, the team is third-best in the league in that category.
  • The Lightning have 21 power-play goals (18th in NHL) on 126 chances.
  • Tampa Bay has the league's 24th-ranked power-play percentage (16.67%).
  • This season, the Lightning have three shorthanded goals (11th in NHL).
  • At 84.85%, Tampa Bay has the third-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Tampa Bay wins 46.3% of faceoffs, 31st-ranked in the NHL.
  • With a shooting percentage of 12.1%, the Lightning are fourth in the league.

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