flexoffers
Back

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 9

09 April 2026 By Data Skrive

Both the New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a defeat, heading into their meeting at UBS Arena on Thursday at 6:45 p.m. ET. The Maple Leafs are heavy underdogs on the road, at +220, and the Islanders are -270.

New York was handed a 4-3 defeat on the road its last time out on April 4 against the Carolina Hurricanes. Matthew Schaefer (one assist) and Maxim Shabanov (one goal) were among the nine Islanders skaters who recorded one point each.

Toronto played at home its last time out on April 8, and fell 4-0 against the Washington Capitals. Joseph Woll saved 14 Capitals shots in that outing while allowing three goals.

Ahead of this matchup, here's who we expect to emerge victorious in Thursday's hockey game.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Islanders 4 - Maple Leafs 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.97 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Islanders-Maple Leafs matchup.

  • Favorite: Islanders (-270)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+220)

Islanders Betting Insights

  • The Islanders are 14-14 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • New York is yet to play a game with moneyline odds shorter than -270.
  • The Islanders' implied moneyline win probability is 73.0% in this game.
  • New York and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 35 of 78 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • This season the Maple Leafs have won 15 of the 43 games, or 34.9%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • Toronto has played as an underdog of +220 or more in one game this season and lost.
  • Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Maple Leafs have a 31.2% chance to win.
  • Toronto's games this season have had over 6.5 goals 43 of 77 times.

Islanders Key Stats

  • New York's 222 total goals (2.8 per game) make it the 24th-ranked scoring team in the league.
  • The Islanders have given up 224 total goals (2.9 per game), ranking sixth in league action for the fewest goals against.
  • Its -2 goal differential ranks 16th in the league.
  • The 38 power-play goals the Islanders have recorded this season (to rank 27th in the NHL) have come on 228 power-play chances.
  • New York's 16.67% power-play conversion rate ranks 30th in the league.
  • The nine shorthanded goals the Islanders have scored this season rank fourth among NHL teams.
  • New York has the league's eighth-best penalty-kill percentage (81.46%).
  • New York wins the fifth-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 52.8%.
  • The Islanders connect on 10.2% of their shots (28th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto's 241 goals on the season (3.1 per game) rank 16th in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have conceded 275 total goals this season (3.5 per game), 30th in the NHL.
  • Its -34 goal differential ranks 27th in the league.
  • With 39 power-play goals (on 192 chances), the Maple Leafs are 25th in the NHL.
  • Toronto has the NHL's 17th-ranked power-play percentage (20.31%).
  • In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs have six.
  • At 82.49%, Toronto has the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • At 54.5%, Toronto has the NHL's best faceoff win rate.
  • With a shooting percentage of 11.6%, the Maple Leafs are 10th in the league.

NHL PICKS

Dunkel NBA Prediction cards

Latest NHL Predictions

GET YOUR PICKS

TRADE ANY GAME

About Us

Double your profit for 5 straight days.

START TRADING

MLB PICKS

Dunkel NCAAB Prediction cards

Latest MLB Predictions

Get Your Picks