Iowa vs. Illinois Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 11
11 January 2026

The No. 19 Iowa Hawkeyes (12-3, 2-2 Big Ten) host the No. 16 Illinois Fighting Illini (12-3, 3-1 Big Ten) at Carver-Hawkeye Arena, tipping off at 12 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 11, 2026. The Hawkeyes are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The point total in the matchup is 144.
Iowa is coming off of a 70-67 loss to Minnesota in its most recent outing on Tuesday. Bennett Stirtz scored a team-best 21 points for Iowa in the loss. Illinois is coming off of an 81-55 victory against Rutgers in its most recent game on Thursday. Keaton Wagler scored 17 points in Illinois' win, leading the team.
Iowa vs. Illinois Odds and Game Time
- When: Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
- Where: Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, Iowa
- Spread favorite: Iowa -1.5
- Moneyline favorite: Iowa -120
- Moneyline underdog: Illinois +100
- Over/Under: 144 points
How to watch Iowa vs. Illinois
- TV Channel: FOX Net (Minot-Bismarck, ND)
- Live Stream: Fubo
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Iowa vs. Illinois
- Iowa and its opponents have combined to exceed Sunday's total of 144 points five times this season.
- This season, 10 games Illinois has played finished with a combined score over 144 points.
- The point total for the contest of 144 is 22.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Hawkeyes (79.8) and Fighting Illini (86.7).
- The 128.1 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 15.9 fewer than the 144 over/under in this contest.
- On average, the over/under in Iowa's games is 3.4 fewer points than the over/under of 144 in this matchup.
- A difference of 10.1 points separates the average over/under in Illinois' games (154.1 points) and this contest's over/under (144).
Betting the Spread: Iowa vs. Illinois
- Iowa has 11 wins against the spread in 15 games this season.
- The Hawkeyes have been favored by 1.5 points or more 13 times this season and are 10-3 ATS in those contests.
- Illinois has played 15 games, with nine wins against the spread.
- This season, the Fighting Illini have one against the spread win in two games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
- Iowa is 9-0 overall, and 7-2 against the spread, at home.
- At home, Iowa is 7-2 ATS as a 1.5-point favorite or more.
- Illinois has one win ATS (1-1) as 1.5-point underdogs or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: Iowa vs. Illinois
- Iowa has won 12, or 92.3%, of the 13 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
- This season, the Hawkeyes have won 12 of their 13 games, or 92.3%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for Iowa.
- Illinois has split the two games it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
- The Fighting Illini have been listed as an underdog of +100 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Illinois has a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
