Illinois vs. UConn Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Semifinals

In a game featuring one of the hottest teams in college basketball, the No. 7 UConn Huskies (33-5) battle the No. 13 Illinois Fighting Illini (28-8) at Lucas Oil Stadium on April 4, 2026. The Huskies have won four in a row, and are 8-2 in their past 10 games, but the Fighting Illini are favorites by 1.5 points. The matchup has an over/under set at 139.5 points.

Illinois heads into this matchup after a 71-59 win against Iowa on Saturday. Keaton Wagler scored a team-high 25 points for Illinois in the victory. UConn's most recent contest on Sunday ended in a 73-72 victory against Duke. Tarris Reed Jr. recorded 26 points, nine rebounds and three assists for UConn.

Illinois vs. UConn Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 6:09 p.m. ET
• Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Illinois -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Illinois -134
• Moneyline underdog: UConn +111
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch Illinois vs. UConn

• TV Channel: TBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Illinois vs. UConn

• A total of 25 of Illinois' games this season have gone over Saturday's over/under of 139.5 points.
• This season, 18 games UConn has played finished with a combined score higher than 139.5 points.
• The total for the game of 139.5 is 21.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Fighting Illini (83.8) and Huskies (77.1).
• The 133.9 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 5.6 fewer than the 139.5 over/under in this contest.
• On average, Illinois has had a 152.5-point over/under in its games this season, 13 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 2.8 points lower than the average over/under in UConn's games this season (142.3 points).

Betting the Spread: Illinois vs. UConn

• Against the spread, Illinois is 22-14-0 this year.
• The Fighting Illini have an ATS record of 18-11 in their 29 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more so far this season.
• In UConn's 38 games this season, it has 15 wins against the spread.
• The Huskies covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 1.5 points or more.
• UConn is 15-2 overall, and 4-13 against the spread, at home.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more at home, UConn is 4-13 ATS.
• Illinois is 8-2 overall, and 6-4 against the spread, on the road.
• This year, as 1.5-point favorites or more away from home, Illinois is 4-3 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Illinois vs. UConn

• Illinois has entered the game as moneyline favorites 29 times this season and won 24, or 82.8%, of those games.
• The Fighting Illini are 23-5 this season when entering a game favored by -134 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Illinois has a 57.3% chance to win.
• UConn came away victorious in the one game it played as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Huskies have played as an underdog of +111 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• UConn has an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.