Idaho vs. Sacramento State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 21

The Idaho Vandals (14-13, 6-8 Big Sky) take the court against the Sacramento State Hornets (9-17, 5-9 Big Sky) as 4.5-point favorites on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 165.5.

Idaho heads into this game on the heels of a 77-67 loss to Portland State on Thursday. Isaiah Brickner's team-leading 22 points paced Idaho in the loss. Sacramento State's last game was a 102-94 loss to Eastern Washington on Thursday. Arman Madi's team-high 26 points paced Sacramento State in the losing effort.

Idaho vs. Sacramento State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, California
• Spread favorite: Idaho -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Idaho -193
• Moneyline underdog: Sacramento State +156
• Over/Under: 165.5 points

How to watch Idaho vs. Sacramento State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Idaho vs. Sacramento State

• Idaho and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total (165.5 points) three times this season.
• This season, nine of Sacramento State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 165.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 158.5 points per game, seven fewer points than the total of 165.5 for this matchup.
• This matchup's point total is 8.6 fewer points than the 156.9 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Idaho has seen a 152.8 average over/under in its games this season, 12.7 less than the over/under in this contest.
• Sacramento State's games have an average over/under of 162.5 points this season, three fewer points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Idaho vs. Sacramento State

• Idaho has played 24 games, with nine wins against the spread.
• The Vandals have been favored by 4.5 points or more eight times this season and are 3-5 ATS in those games.
• Sacramento State has played 24 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• The Hornets have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 16 times this year and are 7-9 ATS in those games.
• Sacramento State is 7-3 against the spread, and 7-3 overall, at home.
• At home, Sacramento State is winless ATS (0-2) as a 4.5-point underdog or greater.
• This year away from home, Idaho is 5-9 against the spread and 5-9 overall.
• Idaho has one win ATS (1-1) on the road as 4.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Idaho vs. Sacramento State

• This season, Idaho has won nine out of the 15 games, or 60%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Vandals have won five of their eight games when favored by at least -193 on the moneyline.
• Idaho has a 65.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Sacramento State has won in three, or 15%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Hornets have a mark of 2-14 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of +156 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Sacramento State has a 39.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Idaho vs. Sacramento State

• Pick ATS: Sacramento State (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (165.5)
  
• Prediction: Sacramento State 86 - Idaho 85