Texans vs. Cowboys Week 4 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

Having dropped three straight, the Houston Texans (0-3) will face the Dallas Cowboys (1-2). Despite that, the Texans are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The game has an over/under of 48.5 points.

The Texans rank 14th in total offense (326.0 yards per game) and 16th in total defense (325.3 yards allowed per game) this year. From an offensive standpoint, the Cowboys are posting 29.3 points per contest (seventh-ranked). They rank 25th in the NFL defensively (27.3 points surrendered per game).

Texans vs. Cowboys Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Houston, Texas
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Total: 48.5 points
• Spread: Texans -3
• Moneyline: Texans (-155), Cowboys (+130)

How to watch Texans vs. Cowboys

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Texans vs. Cowboys

• Texans games have gone over 48.5 points just once this season (in three outings).
• So far this season, one Houston game has gone over the point total.
• The Cowboys and their opponents have combined to score more than 48.5 points twice this season.
• This season, games featuring Dallas have gone over the point total twice.
• The two teams combine to score 47.3 points per game, 1.2 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• Combined, these teams allow 52.3 points per game, 3.8 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Texans vs. Cowboys

• Houston has not won against the spread this season in three opportunities.
• The Cowboys have a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
• Dallas has won its only game this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.

Betting the Moneyline: Texans vs. Cowboys

• Houston has been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they lost both of the games.
• The Cowboys lost the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
• Houston has not played a game this season with moneyline odds of -155 or shorter.
• Dallas has played as an underdog of +130 or more once this season and lost that game.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Texans' implied win probability is 60.8%.

Dunkel Prediction for Texans vs. Cowboys

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