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Astros vs. Rays Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 5

05 July 2026 By Data Skrive

Yordan Alvarez takes a two-game homer streak into the Houston Astros' game versus the Tampa Bay Rays whose Junior Caminero has also homered in two consecutive games. It starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, at Daikin Park. Peter Lambert (6-5, 3.51 ERA) gets the start for the Astros, who are 44-47 this season and third in the AL West. Mason Englert (0-1, 3.96 ERA) is expected to start for the Rays, who are 52-34 and first in the AL East.

Sportsbooks expect a close matchup between the Astros (-120 to win) and the Rays (-102). The game has an over/under of 9 runs.

Astros vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, July 5, 2026
  • Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Daikin Park
  • Favorite: Astros (-120)
  • Underdog: Rays (-102)
  • Over/under: 9

How to Watch Astros vs. Rays

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Astros vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Astros have put together a 14-18 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 43.8% of those games).
  • Tampa Bay has won in 15, or 50%, of the 30 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season Houston has won 10 of its 25 games, or 40%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Rays have been victorious 10 times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Astros' implied win probability is 54.5%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 50.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Astros vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Astros have played in 91 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 48 times (48-38-5).
  • Tampa Bay's games have gone over the total in 38 of its 86 chances.
  • The Astros have collected a 44-47-0 record against the spread this season (covering 48.4% of the time).
  • The Rays have posted a record of 51-35-0 against the spread this season.
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