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Astros vs. Rays Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 4

04 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Rays take a nine-game win streak into a home matchup versus the Houston Astros, at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday. Hunter Brown (1-0, 1.78 ERA) gets the start for the Astros, who are 43-47 this season and third in the AL West. Drew Rasmussen (7-4, 2.45 ERA) is starting for the Rays, who are 52-33 and first in the AL East.

Per the moneyline, the matchup between the Astros (-111) and Rays (-111) looks like a close one. The game's over/under is set at 9.

Astros vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, July 4, 2026
  • Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Daikin Park
  • Favorite: Astros (-111)
  • Underdog: Rays (-111)
  • Over/under: 9

How to Watch Astros vs. Rays

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Astros vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Astros have been favored on the moneyline 31 total times this season. They've gone 13-18 in those games.
  • Tampa Bay has been underdogs in 29 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (51.7%) in those contests.
  • Houston is 12-18 this season when entering a game favored by -111 or more on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Rays have been victorious 15 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least -111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Astros have an implied win probability of 52.6%.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 52.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Astros vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 90 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Astros, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-38-5).
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of its 85 opportunities.
  • The Astros have a 43-47-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Rays are 51-34-0 against the spread in their 85 games that had a posted line this season.
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