Packers vs. Buccaneers Week 4 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-3) will be aiming to end a three-game losing run against the Green Bay Packers (1-2). The Packers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The total for this one is set at 39.5 points.

Despite sporting a bottom-five scoring defense that ranks fourth-worst in the NFL (30.3 points allowed per game), the Packers have played better on the other side of the ball, ranking 24th in the NFL by averaging 18.7 points per game. In terms of points scored the Buccaneers rank 19th in the NFL (20.7 points per game), and they are 23rd on the other side of the ball (26.3 points allowed per contest).

Packers vs. Buccaneers Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Tampa, Florida
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Total: 39.5 points
• Spread: Packers -3
• Moneyline: Packers (-166), Buccaneers (+140)

How to watch Packers vs. Buccaneers

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Packers vs. Buccaneers

• In two games this season, the Packers and their opponents have combined to total more than 39.5 points.
• This season, games featuring the Packers have hit the over twice.
• The Buccaneers have combined with their opponent to score more than 39.5 points only twice this season.
• This season, games featuring Tampa Bay have hit the over twice.
• These two teams are scoring 39.4 points per game between them, 0.1 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• These teams allow 56.6 points per game combined, 17.1 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Packers vs. Buccaneers

• Green Bay has not won against the spread this season in three chances.
• Green Bay has not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
• The Buccaneers are winless against the spread this year (0-3-0).
• Tampa Bay has not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.

Betting the Moneyline: Packers vs. Buccaneers

• Green Bay has been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.
• The Buccaneers have lost both games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Green Bay has played as a moneyline favorite of -166 or shorter in only two games this season, and it split 1-1.
• Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +140 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The Packers have a 62.4% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Packers vs. Buccaneers

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