Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 8
08 October 2026

Both the Vegas Golden Knights and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a victory, heading into their meeting at T-Mobile Arena on Thursday at 10 p.m. ET. Golden Knights (-170) versus Maple Leafs (+142) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.
Before watching this matchup, here's our prediction for which team will secure the win in Thursday's hockey action.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick
For the upcoming game between the Vegas Golden Knights and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Golden Knights 5 - Maple Leafs 2
- Pick OU:
Over 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 7 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines
Snag a look below at the latest moneylines for the Golden Knights-Maple Leafs game.
- Favorite: Golden Knights (-170)
- Underdog: Maple Leafs (+142)
Golden Knights Betting Insights
- The Golden Knights won 66.7% of their games last season when they were a moneyline favorite (8-4).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite at -170 or shorter, Vegas went 2-1.
- The Golden Knights have a 63.0% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
- Vegas and its opponent combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 11 of 26 games last season.
Maple Leafs Betting Insights
- The Maple Leafs were an underdog in four games last season, and did not win any of them.
- Toronto was at least a +142 moneyline underdog three times last season, and lost each of those games.
- Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Maple Leafs have a 41.3% chance to win.
- Toronto and its opponent combined to score over 6.5 goals in three of five games last season.
Golden Knights Key Stats
- Vegas' 264 total goals (3.2 per game) made it the 14th-ranked scoring team in the league last season.
- Defensively, the Golden Knights conceded 242 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 12th in NHL play.
- It had the league's 12th-ranked goal differential at +22.
- The 58 power-play goals the Golden Knights put up last season were sixth-best in the NHL (on 237 power-play chances).
- Vegas' 24.47% power-play conversion rate was the sixth-best in the league.
- The Golden Knights scored six shorthanded goals last season.
- Vegas' 81.86% penalty-kill success rate was the fifth-best in the league.
- Vegas had the 12th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 50.9%.
- The Golden Knights had an 11.1% shooting percentage, which ranked 16th in the league.
Maple Leafs Key Stats
- Toronto had 252 goals last season (3.1 per game), 16th in the NHL.
- The Maple Leafs conceded 295 total goals (3.6 per game), 31st in the league.
- With a goal differential of -43, it was 29th in the league.
- The Maple Leafs had 42 power-play goals (on 198 chances), 23rd in the NHL.
- Toronto's power-play percentage (21.21) ranked the team 16th in the league.
- In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs had six.
- At 81.22%, Toronto had the eighth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Toronto won 54.2% of faceoffs, third-best in the NHL.
- The Maple Leafs' 11.7% shooting percentage was ninth in the league.
