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Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 15

15 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Vegas Golden Knights (22-11-12) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (23-16-7) on Thursday, Jan. 15, with the Golden Knights coming off a victory and the Maple Leafs a loss. Golden Knights (-135) versus Maple Leafs (+114) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Vegas won 3-2 on the road its last time out on Jan. 14 against the Los Angeles Kings. Jack Eichel led the Golden Knights with three points (three assists).

Toronto lost 6-1 on the road against the Utah Mammoth in its last game on Jan. 13. The Maple Leafs got one point each out of Oliver Ekman-Larsson (one assist) and Calle Jarnkrok (one goal).

As hockey action continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which club we predict will win Thursday's game.

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Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Vegas Golden Knights and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Maple Leafs 3 - Golden Knights 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.06 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Golden Knights-Maple Leafs game.

  • Favorite: Golden Knights (-135)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+114)

Golden Knights Betting Insights

  • In the 38 times this season the Golden Knights have been favored on the moneyline, they have finished 19-19 in those games.
  • Vegas is 17-13 when it has played with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter (56.7% win percentage).
  • The Golden Knights have a 57.4% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
  • In 22 of 45 matches this season, Vegas and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have been made an underdog 20 times this season, and won nine, or 45.0%, of those games.
  • Toronto has entered 14 games this season as the underdog by +114 or more and is 5-9 in those contests.
  • The moneyline set in this contest implies a 46.7% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
  • Toronto and its opponent have combined to score over 6.5 goals in 26 of 46 games this season.

Golden Knights Key Stats

  • Vegas' 146 total goals (3.2 per game) make it the 13th-ranked scoring team in the league.
  • The Golden Knights have conceded 133 total goals (3.0 per game), ranking 11th in NHL play in goals against.
  • It has the league's eighth-best goal differential at +13.
  • The 36 power-play goals the Golden Knights have put up this season are fourth-best in the NHL (on 136 power-play chances).
  • Vegas' 26.47% power-play conversion rate is the fourth-best in the league.
  • The Golden Knights have scored one shorthanded goal this season.
  • Vegas' 83.18% penalty-kill success rate is the seventh-best in the league.
  • Vegas has the 10th-best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 51.1%.
  • The Golden Knights have an 11.3% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 10th in the league.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • With 153 goals (3.3 per game), Toronto has the league's seventh-best offense.
  • The Maple Leafs' total of 148 goals allowed (3.2 per game) is 23rd in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of +5, the team is 13th in the league.
  • With 19 power-play goals (on 115 chances), the Maple Leafs are 32nd in the NHL.
  • Toronto scores on 16.52% of its power plays, No. 26 in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have three shorthanded goals (14th in league).
  • Toronto's has the third-best penalty-kill percentage (85.12%).
  • Toronto wins 56.3% of faceoffs, tops in the NHL.
  • The 12.4% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is fourth in the league.

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