Duke vs. UConn Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Elite Eight

The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (35-2) are 4.5-point favorites to make the Final Four when they head into an NCAA Tournament Elite Eight matchup with the No. 2 seed UConn Huskies (32-5) to determine the winner of the East Region bracket on Sunday at Capital One Arena, beginning at 5:05 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 134 points.

Duke heads into this game after an 80-75 win over St. John's on Friday. In the victory, Isaiah Evans paced Duke with 25 points. UConn took care of business in its most recent game 67-63 against Michigan State on Friday. Tarris Reed Jr. totaled 20 points, five rebounds and four assists for UConn.

Duke vs. UConn Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 5:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
• Spread favorite: Duke -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Duke -227
• Moneyline underdog: UConn +180
• Over/Under: 134 points

How to watch Duke vs. UConn

• TV Channel: CBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Duke vs. UConn

• This season, Duke and its opponents have combined to outscore Sunday's over/under of 134 points 27 times.
• This season, 24 of UConn's games have ended with a combined score higher than 134 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 159.1 points per game, 25.1 points more than the total of 134 for this contest.
• These two teams surrender a combined 128.4 points per game, 5.6 less than this contest's over/under.
• Duke has a 145.3 average over/under in its games this season, 11.3 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 8.2 points lower than the average over/under in UConn's games this season of 142.2.

Betting the Spread: Duke vs. UConn

• Duke has 20 wins against the spread in 37 games this year.
• So far this season, the Blue Devils have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 34 times and are 17-17 ATS in those games.
• UConn has played 37 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• At home this season, Duke is 15-0 overall and 7-8 against the spread.
• Duke is 7-8 ATS as a 4.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• On the road, UConn is 5-6 against the spread, and 9-2 overall.
• As 4.5-point underdogs or more away from home, UConn is 3-5 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Duke vs. UConn

• Duke has entered the game as moneyline favorites 33 times this season and won 31, or 93.9%, of those games.
• This season, the Blue Devils have won 29 of their 31 games, or 93.5%, when favored by at least -227 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Duke, based on the moneyline, is 69.4%.
• UConn has yet to play a game this season where it is listed as the moneyline underdog.
• The Huskies have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +180.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UConn has a 35.7% chance of pulling out a win.