Dream vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 22

The Phoenix Mercury (13-23) will turn to Kahleah Copper (sixth in WNBA, 20.5 points per game) to help defeat Allisha Gray (ninth in league, 19.5) and the Atlanta Dream (23-13) on Saturday, August 22, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center, at 10 p.m. ET on WANF, Peachtree Sports Network, AZFamily, and Victory+.

Atlanta earned a 124-88 win against Los Angeles last time out. The squad was led by Rhyne Howard's 26 points, five assists and three steals and Angel Reese's 20 points, 10 rebounds, eight assists and three steals.

In its most recent game, Phoenix lost to Portland, 88-85, at home. Its top performers were DeWanna Bonner (23 PTS, 43.8 FG%, 4-10 from 3PT) and Copper (19 PTS, 7 REB, 42.9 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT).

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Dream vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Dream-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Dream (-5.5)
• Total: 176.5
• Dream Moneyline: -215
• Mercury Moneyline: +172

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Dream Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Dream a 68.3% chance to win.
• Atlanta has won 65.6% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (21-11).
• The Dream have covered 15 times in 36 games with a spread this season.
• Atlanta's games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 176.5 points 20 times.
• The Dream have had an average of 173.0 points in their games this season, 3.5 fewer than this matchup's total.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 36.8% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 22 times this season and won seven, or 31.8%, of those games.
• The Mercury are 16-20-0 ATS this season.
• Phoenix has played 13 games this season that ended with a combined score over 176.5 points.
• The Mercury have a 170.1-point average over/under in their contests this season, 6.4 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Dream vs. Mercury

• The 91.2 points per game Atlanta averages are just 3.8 more points than Phoenix gives up (87.4).
• The Dream are 17-4 when scoring more than 87.4 points.
• Atlanta has been much better offensively at home, where it scores 93.7 points per game, compared to on the road, where it averages 88.7 per game. Defensively, it is much worse when playing at home, where it concedes 88.6 points per game, versus road games, where it allows opponents to average 82.9 per game.
• Phoenix puts up an average of 83.9 points per game, only 1.8 fewer points than the 85.7 Atlanta gives up to opponents.
• The Mercury have put together a 10-6 record in games when they've scored more than 85.7 points.
• At home Phoenix scores 85.6 points per game, 3.0 more than on the road (82.6). Defensively, it concedes 88.3 points per game at home, 1.5 more than away (86.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.