Dream vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 22

Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury (13-23) face Allisha Gray and the Atlanta Dream (23-13) on Saturday, August 22, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center, at 10 p.m. ET on WANF, Peachtree Sports Network, AZFamily, and Victory+.

Last time out, Atlanta picked up a 124-88 victory against Los Angeles. The Dream were led by Rhyne Howard, who wound up with 26 points, five assists and three steals, while Angel Reese added 20 points, 10 rebounds, eight assists and three steals.

In its most recent game, Phoenix fell to Portland, 88-85, at home. Its top scorers were DeWanna Bonner (23 PTS, 43.8 FG%, 4-10 from 3PT) and Copper (19 PTS, 7 REB, 42.9 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT).

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Dream vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Dream-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Dream (-7.5)
• Total: 176.5
• Dream Moneyline: -300
• Mercury Moneyline: +235

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Dream Betting Insights

• The Dream have an implied moneyline win probability of 75.0% in this game.
• Atlanta has won 65.6% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (21-11).
• The Dream have covered 15 times in 36 matchups with a spread this season.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over 176.5 combined points in 20 of 36 games this season.
• The Dream have an average total of 173.0 in their outings this year, 3.5 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mercury have a 29.9% chance to win.
• This season, Phoenix has won seven out of the 22 games, or 31.8%, in which it has been the underdog.
• The Mercury have won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 20 times.
• Phoenix has combined with its opponents to score more than 176.5 points in 13 of 36 games this season.
• The Mercury have had an average of 170.1 points scored in their games so far this season, 6.4 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Dream vs. Mercury

• Atlanta averages 91.2 points per game, only 3.8 more points than the 87.4 Phoenix allows.
• The Dream are 17-4 when scoring more than 87.4 points.
• So far in 2026, Atlanta's offense has been significantly better at home, where it scores 93.7 points per game, compared to on the road, where it puts up 88.7 per game. On defense, it has been much worse in home games, where it gives up 88.6 points per game, versus road games, where it allows its opponents to average 82.9 per game.
• Phoenix averages only 1.8 fewer points per game (83.9) than Atlanta gives up (85.7).
• The Mercury have put together a 10-6 record in games when they've scored more than 85.7 points.
• Phoenix averages more points per game at home (85.6) than on the road (82.6), but also allows more at home (88.3) than away (86.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.