Broncos vs. Chargers Week 5 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Denver Broncos (2-2) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the Los Angeles Chargers (0-4). The Chargers have dropped four games in a row. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 42.5.

With 375.0 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL, the Broncos have had to lean on their 27th-ranked offense (280.3 yards per contest) to keep them competitive. With 306.8 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Chargers rank 21st in the NFL in 2026. Defensively, they rank 16th, allowing 333.5 total yards per contest.

Broncos vs. Chargers Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• City: Inglewood, California
• Venue: SoFi Stadium
• Total: 42.5 points
• Spread: Broncos -3.5
• Moneyline: Broncos (-185), Chargers (+154)

How to watch Broncos vs. Chargers

• TV Channel: CBS

Betting the Over/Under: Broncos vs. Chargers

• Broncos matchups have gone over 42.5 points just once this season (in four outings).
• Denver games have hit the over just once this season.
• The Chargers and their opponents have scored more than 42.5 combined points once this season.
• Games featuring Los Angeles have hit the over just once this season.
• The two teams combine to score 35.3 points per game, 7.2 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these two teams score 50 combined points per game, 7.5 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Broncos vs. Chargers

• Denver has won two games against the spread this season.
• The Chargers are winless against the spread this year (0-3-1).
• Los Angeles has not covered the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).

Betting the Moneyline: Broncos vs. Chargers

• Denver has been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won.
• The Chargers have lost both games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Denver has yet to play as a moneyline favorite of -185 or shorter.
• Los Angeles has not won as an underdog of +154 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
• The Broncos have a 64.9% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Broncos vs. Chargers

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